Texas Governor winner? (2026)
67%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott67%▼ 1
- Gina Hinojosa34%▲ 3
Install
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
The odds
9%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 9% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 13.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: America
Search ›-
Women of America, Common Sense Is on the Ballot | OpinionOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT American women are being asked to choose between two competing visions: common sense grounded in reality, or a political ideology driven by outrage, contradiction and emotion. Then comedian Shane Gillis joked… -
The Elizabeth Holmes Documentary Is a Masterclass in American PoliticsOct 24, 2026 at 07:00 AM EDT You Can See Everything—a film about disgraced Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes—reveals how conviction, spectacle and the manipulation of truth can sustain power. There is a moment in the new documentary when… -
Thousands of Serbian Americans to vote in critical parliamentary electionFor two years now, Serbia has seen mass protests led by young people demanding change after a decade and a half under the increasingly authoritarian rule of Aleksandar Vucic. They are demanding political change, with many students running… -
Early voting surges as more than 23 million Americans cast ballotsFox News Early voting surges as more than 23 million Americans cast ballots Former Trump campaign deputy communications director Caroline Sunshine and Democratic strategist Corbin Trent join ‘Saturday in America’ to discuss surging early… -
US Intel warns Iran boosting efforts to target Americans in MideastIran has ramped up efforts to target Americans overseas, with lethal plots reaching “advanced stages” as the Trump administration weighs renewed military strikes against Tehran, new intelligence is warning. Director of National… -
Trump’s Approval Rating Quietly Shifts in America’s CitiesOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT President Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular among urban voters, but his net approval rating in Echelon Insights polling improved by 20 points between July and October. That movement could influence the… -
America must reverse Trump’s moral squalorThe president shows a unique disregard for the opinions, norms and ideals of the nation – and, for that matter, humanity The Democrats’ focus on affordability seems to be a winning strategy (we’ll know for sure in a little over two weeks)… -
Latin America’s MAGA wave is widening Trump’s political and military reachBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. MEXICO CITY — When… -
Iran has 'substantially increased' efforts to target Americans abroad, US intelligence memo warnsA U.S. intelligence memo warns that Iran has intensified efforts to target Americans abroad, with lethal plots reaching "advanced stages" as the State Department adjusts embassy staffing amid escalating security threats in the Middle East… -
American embassies tighten security as Iran threat warnings intensify ahead of U.S. midterm electionsU.S. embassy officials were on heightened alert around the Middle East as new reports said Iran is in the "advanced stages" of planning attacks against Americans Friday. A memo from Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton said… -
Ken Griffin warns French riots should be 'wake-up call' for AmericansCitadel CEO Ken Griffin on the Paris riots and why they should be a "wake-up call" to Americans (Credit: YouTube/Bloomberg Podcasts). Citadel CEO Ken Griffin issued a warning that the riots that have occurred in Paris and other cities in… -
Argentine-born Trump supporter credits president for Latin America's rightward political shiftMarcelo Sandrin, who has lived in the US for three decades, points to Argentina's Javier Milei and changing politics across South America as signs of Trump's growing influence. Argentine-born Trump supporter credits president for Latin…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions