Fed Decision in October?
94%No change
- No change94%
- 25 bps increase5%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
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Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
The odds
$1,245median
$500$2,000
Median $1,245Middle half $958.33 – $1,602
How the odds have moved
Median: $1,245 on Oct 20, $1,245 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $750 | 88% | 87¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 26.5K | |
| Above $1,000 | 73% | 72¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 22.2K | |
| Above $1,250 | 50% | 49¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 3.5K | |
| Above $1,500 | 32% | 31¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 2.0K | |
| Above $1,750 | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 3.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend
Search ›-
Mary Peltola Sold Out Alaskans with Permanent Fund About-FaceDemocrat Mary Peltola justified having the highest salary in the Alaska state legislature to fight for rural Permanent Fund Dividends, then cashed out to lobby for a bill that sought to slash those same payments to families. Peltola drew a… - Alaska Considers Economic SuicideThe state has prospered under Trump, and the vulnerable Sen. Dan Sullivan deserves credit. Link to ChatGPT Video Transcript Summary ‘Build the line! Build the line! Build the line!” The chant roars through the sports center as Sen. Dan…
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Number of rate cuts in 2026?
0.04median
-0.5020.5
Median 0.04Middle half -0.23 – 0.31
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
5.8%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 5.8%Middle half 2.99% – 7.16%
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73%Hike–Pause–Hike
- Hike–Pause–Hike73%▼ 2
- Hike–Pause–Pause21%
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- Hike–Hike–Pause2%▲ 1
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Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
182.8median
160200
Median 182.8Middle half 178.2 – 187.8
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions