How high will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes Nov 29 · $276 today · $1K traded · $940 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

49%Above $4.25

Reaches $4.2549%
Reaches $4.3042%
Reaches $4.3528%
Reaches $4.4016%
Reaches $4.4515%
Reaches $4.5011%
Reaches $4.5510%
Reaches $4.6010%

How the odds have moved

Reaches $4.25: 82% on Nov 2, 49% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above $4.25	49%	▲ 6	45¢	53¢	$1.89	55.00
Above $4.30	42%	▲ 14	27¢	43¢	$2.33	321
Above $4.35	28%	▲ 1	23¢	32¢	$3.13	265
Above $4.40	16%	▼ 11	14¢	18¢	$5.56	856
Above $4.45	15%	▲ 4	12¢	18¢	$5.56	262
Above $4.50	11%	▼ 11	7¢	14¢	$7.14	601
Above $4.55	10%	▼ 7	6¢	13¢	$7.69	3.7K
Above $4.60	10%	▼ 3	5¢	14¢	$7.14	1.4K
Above $4.65	7%	▼ 7	4¢	9¢	$11.11	250
Above $4.70	5%	▼ 9	3¢	6¢	$16.67	331
Above $4.75	5%	▼ 6	4¢	7¢	$14.29	290
Above $4.80	3%	▼ 12	2¢	3¢	$33.33	1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: gas prices, gasoline

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Travelers face sticker shock on airfare, gas prices as midterms approachCBS News · 42 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Higher airfares…
They signed up for a lifetime at sea on an endless cruise. High gas prices intervenedNPR · 29 h agoA cruise ship suspended operations suddenly, citing soaring fuel costs. Passengers, including Randy Cassingham, had to disembark in Cambodia. NPR's Ayesha Rascoe talks to Cassingham about the ordeal. They signed up for a lifetime at sea on…
ExxonMobil and Chevron top estimates for Q3 as Americans feel gas price painthe Guardian · 3 days agoBusiness is booming for two biggest US oil companies, with both benefiting from higher prices and record production ExxonMobil and Chevron both reported better than expected quarterly results on Friday as the oil majors benefited from…
A cold winter risks another gas price shock in Europe as stocks dwindle to record lowsCNBC · 3 days agoEuropean natural gas prices continue to rise as the continent's stocks are depleted to record lows, fueling fresh fears of a looming winter price shock. Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) futures for December delivery were last seen up…
Rivian CEO on impact of high gas pricesCNBC · 4 days agoCNBC Rivian CEO on impact of high gas prices
Gas prices Nov. 2Mohave Valley News · 36 h agoMohave Valley News Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium content. Please enable it in your browser settings. There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or…
How gas prices have changed in Tampa in the last weekAction News Jax · 13 h agoStacker compiled statistics on gas prices in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro area using data from AAA. Gas prices are current as of October 26. Tampa by the numbers- Gas current price: $4.10--- Florida average: $4.09- Week…
How gas prices have changed in Longview in the last weekKIRO 7 News Seattle · 18 h agoStacker compiled statistics on gas prices in Longview, WA metro area using data from AAA. Gas prices are current as of October 26. Longview by the numbers- Gas current price: $5.16--- Washington average: $5.30- Week change: -$0.11 (-2.0%)…
Letter: Investigate gas pricesFredericksburg.com · 34 h agoFredericksburg.com Javascript is required to use this website. People are also readingâ¦ - Fredericksburg police ask public to help identify suspects - Career criminal gets 20 years in Caroline, more time pending - Teen sentenced to 38…
How gas prices have changed in Gainesville, Georgia in the last weekWSB-TV Channel 2 - Atlanta · 19 h agoStacker compiled statistics on gas prices in Gainesville, GA metro area using data from AAA. Gas prices are current as of October 26. Gainesville, Georgia by the numbers- Gas current price: $3.68--- Georgia average: $3.65- Week change…
Fuel and gas prices to increase from today@fijivillage · 38 h agoFijivillage Fijians will have to dig deeper into their pockets from today as the Fijian Competition and Consumer Commission has announced increases in fuel and gas prices.The price of motor spirit will increase by 55 cents from $3.15 to…
How gas prices have changed in Ocala in the last weekAction News Jax · 16 h agoStacker compiled statistics on gas prices in Ocala, FL metro area using data from AAA. Gas prices are current as of October 26. Ocala by the numbers- Gas current price: $4.13--- Florida average: $4.09- Week change: +$0.02 (+0.5%)- Year…

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$3.95median

$2.40$5.10

Median $3.95Middle half $3.82 – $4.08

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onAAA

Trading closesNov 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$1K (9,526 contracts)

Today$276

This week$1K

At stake$940

In the news68 headlines today, 388 this week

Followed here sinceNov 1, 2026

The rules

If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.25 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions