NY-18 House winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $10.2K traded · $4.5K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

96%Pat Ryan
  • Pat Ryan96%
  • Jacqueline Auringer4%

How the odds have moved

Pat Ryan: 95% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pat Ryan 96% 95¢ 97¢ $1.03 10.2K
Jacqueline Auringer 4% 4¢ 4¢ $24.39 10.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NY- House, Pat Ryan, Jacqueline Auringer

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  • NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner · 4 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
  • The battle for NY-18: Rep. Pat Ryan discussed affordability, AI and his political futureNews 12 - Hudson Valley · 4 days agoOct 21, 2026, 5:58 PM With less than a month to Election Day, the race for New York's 18th congressional district is heating up. News 12's senior reporter Tara Rosenblum sat down one-on-one with both candidates to break down where they…
  • Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner · 44 h agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
  • Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News · 8 days agoFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris…
  • Editorial: It’s time to flip CongressTimes Union · 26 h agoPresident Donald J. Trump has been imploring Republican voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot” in the midterm elections. There’s no need, really, to pretend. This election, particularly for seats in the U.S. Senate and the House of…
  • Election 2026: The Races We’re Watching in NY & Northeast PARadio Catskill · 3 days agoWJFF 90.5 FM | WIOX 91.3 FM Local and state races across New York and Pennsylvania are heating up as Election Day quickly approaches. Here are the races on our radar leading up to November 3. Stay up to date on Radio Catskill’s election…
  • Challenger Faces High Bar to Unseat Ryanhighlandscurrent.org · 3 days agoHouse Democrat seeks third term representing Beacon When Pat Ryan entered Congress in August 2022, in a special election to fill a vacant seat, he eked out a victory, winning by 3,837 votes of 132,246 cast, or 2.9 percentage points, over…
  • Hunter Mayors fed up with lack of funding2NM · 4 days agoSingleton Council will miss out on approximately $1.5 million in additional funding each year, while Upper Hunter Shire Council say they’ll be $1.9 million worse off. It comes after the NSW Local Government Grants Commission decided not to…
  • Press Release: Pat Ryan Says HHS Released $356 Million in LIHEAP Funding for New YorkQuiver Quantitative · 8 days agoPat Ryan says bipartisan pressure helped secure early release of $356 million in LIHEAP funds for New York. LIHEAP funds released to New York: Congressman Pat Ryan said he helped lead a bipartisan push urging the Department of Health and…
  • FOLLOWING BIPARTISAN PUSH FROM CONGRESSMAN PAT RYAN AND COLLEAGUES DEMANDING TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SPEED UP LIHEAP DISTRIBUTION, HHS RELEASES $356 MILLION FOR NEW YORKCongressman Pat Ryan · 8 days agoAs temperatures begin to drop and fuel prices remain high due to the Iran War, Congressman Ryan demanded that the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) distribute critical home energy funds without delay This week, $356 million in…
  • Upper Hunter Shire demands fairer grants as reform is shelved98.1 Power FM · 5 days agoUpper Hunter Shire Council has expressed disappointment at the NSW Local Government Grants Commission’s decision not to complete its review of the Financial Assistance Grants methodology, saying the outcome leaves smaller councils facing…
  • Tuesday’s Mini-Report, 10.20.26MS NOW · 5 days agoIn exclusive interviews with MS NOW, military family members said that after a hasty and traumatic evacuation from Naval Support Activity Bahrain in March, they have been living out of hotels and short-term rentals and face running out of…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.