Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%
- Republican Party10%▲ 1
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NJ-09 House winner? (2026)
The odds
97%Nellie Pou
- Nellie Pou97%
- Rosie Pino3%
How the odds have moved
Nellie Pou: 97% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nellie Pou | 97% | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 12.4K | |
| Rosie Pino | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | 2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Nellie Pou, Rosie Pino
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Bergen Record Editorial Board Endorses Nellie Pou for Reelection While Republicans Cut Off Funding to NJ-09Insider NJ The Bergen Record Editorial Board officially endorsed Congresswoman Nellie Pou for reelection. The Editorial Board makes the case for Pou clear: “Pou’s command of policy, knowledge of the district and decades of legislative… -
Trump put this Hispanic district in play. His deportations are complicating the pitch.Republican Rosie Pino is criticizing Trump’s immigration crackdown, but her party’s hopes of unseating Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou are fading. Rep. Nellie Pou (D-N.J.) launches a Passaic County Central Labor Council labor walk in Clifton… -
Bergen Record endorses Pou for re-election in 9th districtEditorial board praises Pino’s life experience but says Democratic incumbent has stronger grasp of federal policy By David Wildstein, October 20 2026 3:05 pm The (Bergen) Record has endorsed Rep. Nellie Pou (D-North Haledon) for… -
LAN backs House incumbents, Garcia for JCBOE, and Weiner for commissionerThe Latino Action Network (LAN) is endorsing U.S. Reps. Rob Menendez (D-8), Nellie Pou (D-9), and LaMonica McIver (D-10), as well as Fernando Garcia for the Jersey City Board of Education (BOE) and Dr. Aaron Weiner for Hudson County… -
State PBA endorses Kean for re-electionPolice union also supports Van Drew, Smith, Gottheimer and Pallone, but stays neutral in U.S. Senate race By David Wildstein, October 20 2026 3:51 pm The New Jersey State Policemen’s Benevolent Association has endorsed Rep. Tom Kean, Jr… -
Democrats dominate early vote-by-mail returns in New Jersey, including three key congressional districtsDemocrats are dominating New Jersey’s early vote-by-mail returns, accounting for more than 66% of ballots received statewide with just 15 days remaining before the November 3 election. Of the 364,128 mail ballots returned so far, 241,231… -
Rep. Nellie Pou, a Republican target, raises more than $3 million for re-election, she saysWASHINGTON — Rep. Nellie Pou, the only New Jersey Democrat who appeared on House Republican targeted lists for 2026, said Wednesday that she had brought in more than $3 million for her re-election campaign and had entered October with $1.6… -
Van Drew and Pou, targeted by the opposite parties, swamp their opponents in campaign cashWASHINGTON — Rep. Jeff Van Drew, recently targeted by the House Democrats’ political arm, entered October with $1.2 million to spend on his re-election campaign – 10 times that of Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock — according to Federal Election… -
Congresswoman Pou Releases Timeline Of Diesel Spill From Equinix Data CenterSECAUCUS, NJ — Secaucus is represented in U.S. Congress by Nellie Pou, a Democrat, who was elected to the seat after longtime Congressman Bill Pascrell died. Pou said she was concerned about the 5,200-gallon diesel fuel spill from Equinix… -
Pou: Secaucus data center waited over 7 hours to report diesel spill to NJDEPA Secaucus data center waited over seven hours to report a 5,500-gallon diesel spill to the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) on September 11th, according to a letter from U.S. Rep. Nellie Pou (D-9) to Mayor Michael… -
Gottheimer colleagues say $23 million fundraising for Democrats could help reclaim majoritySuozzi and Pou praise the Human Fundraising Machine By David Wildstein, October 13 2026 5:23 am After raising more than $23 million for Democratic candidates nationwide this election cycle, Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff) is drawing… -
Insider NJ’s Morning Intelligence Briefing: 10/12/2026QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I would still consider Van Drew’s district to be an uphill climb for Democrats. If the blue tsunami continues to rise and continues to get taller, then it could sweep up a district like this. There’s a lot of seawall…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.