NJ-07 House Election Winner
94%Rebecca Bennett (D)
- Rebecca Bennett (D)94%
- Thomas Kean Jr. (R)6%
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NJ-07 House winner? (2026)
The odds
94%Rebecca Bennett
- Rebecca Bennett94%
- Thomas Kean Jr.7%
How the odds have moved
Rebecca Bennett: 93% on Oct 20, 94% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett | 94% | 94¢ | 94¢ | $1.07 | 131.5K | |
| Thomas Kean Jr. | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 93.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- NJ-07 House winner? (2026)Thomas Kean Jr. (R)Kalshi 7%Polymarket 6%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: NJ- House, Rebecca Bennett, Thomas Kean Jr.
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Zack Mullock in N.J. 2nd Congressional District and Rebecca Bennett in N.J. 7th Congressional District | EndorsementThe Democratic candidates offer voters an alternative to the GOP incumbents' blind allegiance to President Donald Trump's dead-end policies. Since he returned to the White House, Donald Trump’s policies have worsened inflation, pushed up… -
I Ran Against Rebecca Bennett. Here's Why I Trust Her to Lead Through What's Ahead.The best part of running for Congress is hearing people's stories. There's something humbling about strangers trusting you with their deepest vulnerabilities. Of the countless stories I heard across our district, two capture what so many… -
District 7 General Election 2026: Rebecca BennettDISTRICT 7, NJ —District 7's Congressional general election on Nov. 3 has three candidates running for one open seat. Democrat Rebecca Bennett is running against Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. and Seamus Patrick O'Toole with the "Stop… -
Decision 2026: Rebecca Bennett looks to flip a mostly Republican voting populationNBC New York Decision 2026: Rebecca Bennett looks to flip a mostly Republican voting population -
Tom Kean had everything going for him. Then the Republican New Jersey congressman disappearedEven with a multimillion-dollar war chest, the US representative faces a stiff fight for his seat from Democrat Rebecca Bennett The stars above New Jersey seemed aligned for Tom Kean Jr. The Republican congressman had a war chest of more… -
Tom Kean Jr.’s Hometown Newspaper Endorses Rebecca Bennett For CongressInsider NJ The My Central Jersey Editorial Board rebukes Kean Jr., writing: - “He has consistently avoided interacting with ordinary voters in the 7th Congressional District. He has not held in-person town hall meetings, and he doesn’t… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday… -
Tom Kean Jr.’s No Good Very (Very) Bad Day: With 12 Days to Go, Kean Jr. Faces Barrage of Brutal Press Coverage While Bennett Racks Up EndorsementsTake a look at some of today’s reporting: New York Magazine: Can an Invisible Congressman Win Reelection? NJ.com: Is this Tom Kean Jr.’s last stand? The nation — and Trump — are watching USA Today Network New Jersey Editorial Board: Tom… -
InsiderNJ Interview with Hunterdon County Clerk Mary MelfiFLEMINGTON - Hunterdon County Clerk Mary Melfi is running "like I'm chased by a pack of wolves," she tells InsiderNJ on the day prior to the beginning of early voting, at the heart of the county she has served for 20 years. The Republican… -
Philadelphia Inquirer endorses Mullock over Van Drew for CongressNewspaper also backs Rebecca Bennett against Tom Kean Jr., criticizing Republican incumbents’ support for Trump By David Wildstein, October 22 2026 12:58 pm The Philadelphia Inquirer has endorsed Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, a Democrat… -
Power & Politics: Vote 2026 - One-on-one with Democratic candidate for NJ's 7th Congressional District Rebecca BennettOct 17, 2026, 4:20 PM News 12's Erik Landskroner sat down with Rebecca Bennett, the Democratic candidate for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District. The district is in much in play in the Midterm Elections as Democrats hope to flip it… -
Kean Vanishes, Bennett Smells Blood in Jersey FightTom Kean Jr. was supposed to have the upper hand in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District. Instead, the Republican congressman has become a campaign story in his own right, leaving Democrats with a fresh opening in one of the nation’s…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions