MI-04 House Election Winner
63%Sean McCann (D)
- Sean McCann (D)63%
- Bill Huizenga (R)37%
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MI-04 House winner? (2026)
The odds
62%Sean McCann
- Sean McCann62%
- Bill Huizenga38%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Sean McCann: 49% on Oct 20, 62% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETSean McCann: 52% → 58%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McCann | 62% | 61¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 44.5K | |
| Bill Huizenga | 38% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 16.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- MI-04 House winner? (2026)Sean McCann (D)Kalshi 62%Polymarket 63%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: MI- House, Sean McCann, Bill Huizenga
Search ›- Retired Michigan nurse backs Sean McCann over Bill Huizenga on health costsA retired nurse says her son’s insurance tripled. State Sen. Sean McCann explains how he’d tackle health care, energy, and grocery costs in Congress. A lifelong resident of Southwest Michigan, Barbara Hammon is a retired critical care…
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Sean McCann’s pitch to West Michigan: More good-paying jobs, lower costsState Sen. Sean McCann explains how he’d lower costs and protect West Michigan manufacturing jobs in his US House race against Rep. Bill Huizenga. The cost of living and the need for good jobs will be top of mind as Michigan voters head to… -
Banks vs. crypto? Not at the ballot boxDelivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance, politics and policy — and on Fridays, Morning Money: Capital Risk highlights the downstream effects on markets. By JASPER GOODMAN and AIDEN REITER 10/22/2026… -
Republicans face growing midterm election concerns as new map shows several GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats in just one weekRepublicans are facing a fresh warning sign ahead of the midterms, as new election ratings show a number of GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats. The latest changes affect races across multiple states, including Iowa… - Faith takes center stage at John James campaign event in rural Southwest MichiganAttendees flocked to Paw Paw area fruit farm Brookside Farms Wednesday for a Republican campaign event featuring current US Representative and Michigan gubernatorial hopeful John James, and US Representative Bill Huizenga — who is up for…
- Will Wyoming’s Next Congressman Sleep In His Office?Members of Congress must keep a home in the district they serve, and they must be in Washington, D.C., for almost half of the year. That can be expensive for someone making $174K a year. A basic one-bedroom apartment in Washington, DC…
- US Opposes UN Bid of Myanmar Junta: Flags democracy, civilian safety, China-Iran nexus; Trump govt talks with militaryUS Congress appeal to its mission in UN to resist Myanmar junta representatives, while Trump administration hold talks with junta rule — House Foreign Affairs Committee Dems (@HouseForeign) October 16, 2026 — Rep. Bill Huizenga…
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HMP Launches New Ads in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, South Carolina, Virginia, Washington, and WisconsinWashington, D.C. – House Majority PAC is launching new television ads across 25 districts in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, South Carolina… -
ICYMI: Bill Huizenga Faces His Toughest Re-Election Race Yet [The American Prospect]Michigan Democratic Party ICYMI: Bill Huizenga Faces His Toughest Re-Election Race Yet [The American Prospect] Republicans in Allegan County, which Huizenga represents, have admitted that “enthusiasm is down” since their Congressman sold… -
U.S. lawmakers told of Pakistan’s religious rights violationsReligious freedom advocates have urged U.S. lawmakers to push Pakistan to end the abduction, forced religious conversion and marriage of minority girls, warning that weak law enforcement and judicial failures leave Christian and other… -
Bill Huizenga Faces His Toughest Re-Election Race YetWe’re in the last stretch of our fall fundraising drive, and we’re still short of our goal. In an era of media consolidation into the hands of billionaires and corporate owners, we remain independent. Can you chip in today? To match this… -
Fourth Congressional District shifts ahead of Nov. 3Fifth District Congressional voters won’t be starved for choice, if they want an alternative to Republican incumbent Tim Walberg – with four opponents from the Democratic, Green, Libertarian, and U.S. Taxpayers’ parties on the Nov. 3…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions