AZ-02 House Election Winner
64%Eli Crane (R)
- Eli Crane (R)64%▼ 1
- Jonathan Nez (D)36%▲ 2
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AZ-02 House winner? (2026)
The odds
66%Eli Crane
- Eli Crane66%
- Jonathan Nez34%
How the odds have moved
Eli Crane: 76% on Oct 20, 66% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Crane | 66% | 66¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 30.8K | |
| Jonathan Nez | 34% | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 97.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- AZ-02 House winner? (2026)Eli Crane (R)Kalshi 66%Polymarket 64%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: AZ- House, Eli Crane, Jonathan Nez
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Eli Crane's Veterans' Center Bill Now Officially LawRepresentative Eli Crane (R-AZ) is celebrating President Donald Trump signing H.R. 837 into law. As reported earlier in October, Rep. Crane's bill was first introduced in March 2023 as H.R. 1829, passing the House in April 2024. The House… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
Mike Johnson asks Trump for more midterm money as Republicans seek to avert disaster in House racesIn the final sprint to the midterms, Speaker Mike Johnson went to President Donald Trump with a crucial ask, according to a person familiar with the exchange. Johnson’s message: Could Trump spare more cash to help House Republicans in this… -
Hobbs, others rally Democratic supporters at CG eventArizona Gov. Katie Hobbs addresses a large crowd of Democratic supporters during Tuesday evening’s campaign rally at The Landmark Event Center in Casa Grande. Hobbs, who is seeking reelection in the Nov. 3 general election, spoke about her… -
2026 Election: Arizona Congressional District 2 explained: What to know about the raceLeft: President of the Navajo Nation Jonathan Nez stands in the Monument Valley Tribal Park. Right: Representative Eli Crane, a Republican from Arizona, during a House Oversight and Accountability Committee hearing in Washington, DC, US… -
DCCC Jumps Into Three New House RacesThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding spending, as it drops $16 million in coordinated TV ads in the second to last week of the campaign. In Arizona’s 2nd, where the DCCC is now spending, Rep. Eli Crane faces Jonathan… -
ICT NEWSCAST: Death investigation in Winnemucca, Native candidates and moreThe ICT Newscast for Friday, Oct. 23, 2026, covers candidate profiles, a men’s wellness camp. Check out the ICT Newscast on YouTube for this episode and more. Death of Paiute, Shoshone woman unsolved in Nevada Women candidates poised for… -
Former President Nez warns Trump census proposal could weaken Native representationPosted by Donovan Quintero | Oct 22, 2026 | News | Former President Jonathan Nez says the Navajo Nation should oppose a Trump administration proposal to remove race and ethnicity questions from the 2030 census. “This is a big issue that… -
SNAKEBITE— 10.22.26— Biggs Condemns Slotkin's Controversial Remarks— Gallego and Kelly on Air Quality Changes— Crane's Vets' Center Bill Now Law, Much More...Senator Mark Kelly: This is voter intimidation, plain and simple. Don't let anyone tell you this is about election security. It's about scaring eligible Americans from exercising their right to vote, and it’s not going to work. Senator… -
Five candidates vie for three seats on Flagstaff City Council; mayor faces write-in challenge100th Anniversary Sale! Get 2 years of digital access for only $100/year City council candidates took part in a forum at the Murdoch Center in September to answer questions about issues affecting Southside residents and business owners… - Election 2026: Five candidates vie for three seats on Flagstaff City Council; mayor unopposedCity council candidates took part in a forum at the Murdoch Center in September to answer questions about issues affecting Southside residents and business owners. The top three vote-getters among the five candidates will earn a four-year…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.