Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
94%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party94%▲ 1
- Republican Party6%▼ 1
Install
Republican Seats in the House (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
198.5median
185235
Median 198.5Middle half 192.2 – 205.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 199.7 on Nov 1, 198.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 190 | 85% | $1.18 | 700 | |||
| Above 195 | 62% | $1.61 | 700 | |||
| Above 200 | 45% | $2.22 | 900 | |||
| Above 205 | 26% | $3.85 | 800 | |||
| Above 210 | 16% | $6.25 | 700 | |||
| Above 215 | 11% | $9.09 | 600 | |||
| Above 220 | 8% | $12.50 | 600 | |||
| Above 225 | <1% | |||||
| Above 230 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House
Search ›- 2026 U.S. House Election ResultsThe handful of House members who flipped the toughest seats in 2024 all face challenging races again this year. These are districts that changed party control in the last election excluding those that redistricted prior to the 2024 and…
- Florida House District 13 Primary Election Live Results 2026NBC News Florida House District 13 Primary Results 2026 Democratic House 13 County Results The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based…
- House progressives' '2027 wishlist' sparks debate as Election Day loomsFox News House progressives' '2027 wishlist' sparks debate as Election Day looms The ‘Outnumbered' panel discusses reports of progressive Democrats' policy wishlist and analyzes early voting numbers. House progressives plan to force votes…
- Bute House protested by environmental campaignersClimate groups gathered outside Bute House in Edinburgh Climate groups gathered outside Bute House in Edinburgh to protest against the Scottish government's decision to give the go-ahead for a new, gas-fired, power station at Peterhead in…
- American Psychological Association rejects House report on antisemitismThe president and CEO of the American Psychological Association rejected the findings of a House report on Jew-hatred in the association, telling colleagues on Thursday that the APA has “held listening sessions” with Jewish psychologists…
- "The Angle:" Illinois U.S. Senate, House candidates' positions, Ed O'Keefe on national trendsCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA News This Morning Sunday 8am
- How House Democrats' 'deterrence message' on Trump jobs could backfireFormer DOJ official Abhi Kambli says Democrats’ calls to hold Trump staffers accountable could make future investigations look punitive rather than for legislative functions, potentially chilling congressional oversight. Sen. Elissa…
- House Democrats defend Rep. Ilhan Omar amid federal investigationFox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on House Democrats calling the raid on Rep. Ilhan Omar's home politically motivated. House Democrats defend Rep. Ilhan Omar amid federal investigation Fox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on House Democrats…
- Jacinda Ardern in Sydney Opera House talk advises politicians to ‘rebuild trust by building financial security’Former New Zealand prime minister has moved to Australia and is lecturing at University of Sydney – and from stage of city’s famous landmark Jacinda Ardern, who now calls Sydney home, has delivered a message to Australian politicians from…
- Katie Zacharia’s Halloween post humble brags about about her tiny figure, designer duds after White House crashoutWASHINGTON — So humble. Katie Zacharia used Halloween to boast about her slim figure and designer duds online after setting the record for the shortest White House press secretary run in US history. On the eve of Halloween, Zacharia posted…
- Donald Trump Weighs In on Nicki Minaj as Potential White House Press SecretaryThe president was asked whether the rapper could take on the role in his administration. Donald Trump is addressing the possibility of Nicki Minaj becoming the next White House press secretary. During a recent appearance on the political…
- Nationals leader Matt Canavan to run for lower house seat in possible showdown with One Nation’s James AshbyTilt comes after Michelle Landry announced she will not recontest her Queensland seat of Capricornia Get our daily political email, free app or daily news podcast The Nationals leader, Matt Canavan, will run in a lower house Queensland…
Related markets
All house ›MN-05 House winner?
98%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar98%▲ 1
- John Nagel2%
- DeVelle Jackson1%
TX-15 House winner? (2026)
89%Bobby Pulido
- Bobby Pulido89%
- Monica De La Cruz11%▼ 2
TX-23 House winner?
55%Brandon Herrera
- Brandon Herrera55%
- Katy Padilla Stout46%
NC-13 House Election Winner
67%Brad Knott (R)
- Brad Knott (R)67%▲ 11
- Paul Barringer (D)34%▼ 12
NY-17 House winner? (2026)
58%Cait Conley
- Cait Conley58%▼ 3
- Mike Lawler42%▲ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions