Texas Governor winner? (2026)
70%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott70%▼ 2
- Gina Hinojosa31%
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South Dakota Governor General Election (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
95%Republican Party
- Republican Party95%
- Democratic Party<1%
How the odds have moved
Republican Party: 95% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on ForecastEx. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | 95% | $1.05 | 100 | |||
| Democratic Party | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota Governor General, Republican Party, Democratic Party
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Top Trump ally warns Republican Party 'dead' if it loses key voting bloc ahead of midtermsMidterm election outcomes depend heavily on energy costs and foreign policy, Joe Concha predicts on 'Varney & Co.' A top Senate Republican warned that the same voting bloc that has propelled the GOP to power over the last decade is at risk… -
Trump going for ‘Yalta 2’ with Putin and Xi would blow up the Republican PartyIf President Donald Trump wants a full-on riot within the Republican Party, going along with Vladimir Putin’s idea for a “Yalta 2” summit with Xi Jinping is the way to do it. Putin knows that the original Yalta was a triumph for Joseph… -
Will Latino voters stick with the Republican Party? | CNN PoliticsLatino voters helped send President Donald Trump back to the White House in 2024, but CNN's Arlette Sanez breaks down the signs that Democrats may be making gains with the key voting demographic this midterm season. Discover more videos… -
Senate candidate Angie Nixon says she "previously had very little support" from Democratic partyCBS News Nixon on support from Democratic party Pope Leo delivers Sunday Angelus prayer Face the Nation: Cramer, political panel Turner on Starlink slowdown CBS News poll on Texas Senate race Open: "Face the Nation," Oct. 18, 2026 Nature… -
NY Democratic Party quietly OKs resolution condemning antisemitism while battling claims it’s ‘soft’ on issueThe state Democratic Party has quietly approved a resolution condemning antisemitism as it battles back against the notion its leaders “are soft’’ on anti-Jewish hate. The little-noticed measure was overwhelmingly passed earlier this month… -
Republican Party of Florida sues over 'Hope Florida' campaign adLEE COUNTY, Fla. (WINK) - The Republican Party of Florida is suing to stop a political television ad that uses a leaked grand jury presentation, threatening television stations with criminal penalties. The party filed a lawsuit against the… -
Meet the manly men who want to remake the Democratic PartyThe Washington Post Candidates posting thirst traps, calling opponents betas and ripping bench presses: the strange new world of campaigning as a Democratic man. Welcome to the 2026 midterms, a months-long contest to prove who is the… -
Florida Republican Party wants court to block Democrats’ Hope Florida adsThe Republican Party of Florida filed suit on Friday against the Florida Democratic Party, many of its candidates and a slew of television stations, seeking to stop the airing of a political ad highlighting the leaked grand jury… -
Republican Party of Florida Sues Florida Democrats & TV Stations Over Hope Florida Scandal AdIn the lead-up to the 2026 Midterms, the Republican Party of Florida (RPOF) has filed a lawsuit against the state’s Democratic Party and several television (TV) stations to prevent the use of the controversial $10 million Hope Florida… -
Hasan Piker's influence tests breaking point of Democratic PartyHasan Piker's growing influence is fueling a battle for the Democratic Party's future. Political insiders warn that the rise of the socialist left could deepen party divisions and reshape Democrats' chances in 2026 and beyond. Ahead of the… -
Latino Registered Voters See the Democratic Party More Favorably Than the Republican PartyThis Pew Research Center analysis focuses on Latino registered voters and the 2026 midterm election. Pew Research Center conducts research to inform the public, journalists and decision-makers. This analysis builds on a larger body of work… -
Police Raid YouTuber Over Alleged Poll Manipulation in Democratic Party RaceOffices of Sisa Tapa TV Operator Among Sites Searched Lee Calls It Unfair That Police Won't Pursue Compulsory Probe of Kim Min-seok Police have launched a compulsory investigation into a YouTuber suspected of urging viewers to give false…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.