The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Why it moved
Nov 2, 3 PM ETAbove 5.7: <1% → 17%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 5.7
17%
$6.06
Above 5.8
17%
$6.06
Above 5.9
17%
$6.06
Above 6
17%
$6.06
Above 6.1
17%
$6.06
Above 6.2
17%
$6.06
Above 6.3
<1%
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Michigan gas prices drop 28 cents since last week, AAA saysCBS News · 8 h agoNovember 2, 2026 / 7:48 AM EST / CBS Detroit Gas prices in Michigan are down 28 cents from a week ago, AAA-The Auto Club Group reports. Motorists are now paying an average of $4.55 per gallon for regular unleaded gas, which is 28 cents…
Alaska could be the key to low gas prices, Trump-backed governor hopeful saysFox News · 6 h agoRepublican candidate for Alaska's governor, Bernadette Wilson, told Fox News Digital that her administration's plan to cut the "draconian red tape" the federal government has placed on Alaska's oil industry is the solution to America's gas…
Texas voters on high gas prices under Trump: ‘Probably made me go more Democrat’the Guardian · 10 h agoIn state where driving is part of life, president’s pledge to lower prices at the pumps cuts little ice Behind the granite countertops of Fuel City, a gas station in Dallas where taxidermy deer flank the entrance and hot tacos are served…
How gas prices have changed in The Villages in the last weekWFTV · 6 h agoStacker compiled statistics on gas prices in The Villages, FL metro area using data from AAA. Gas prices are current as of November 2. The Villages by the numbers- Gas current price: $3.68--- Florida average: $3.86- Week change: -$0.21…
Europe heads into winter with gas prices still soaringintellinews.com · 7 h agoEurope faces a difficult winter as storage levels lag historical norms, LNG supplies remain constrained and gas prices approach their highest levels ...
Gas Price Patrol: Will relief at the pump last past Election Day?@13abc · 6 h agoWe just saw the biggest weekly gas price drop in months but will the relief last past Election Day? TOLEDO, Ohio (WTVG) - We just saw the biggest weekly gas price drop in months but will the relief last past Election Day? Josh Croup…
Gas Prices Drop Across Nation As Refinery Work Winds DownNews Talk 1340 KROC-AM · 8 h agoRefinery work wrapping up means cheaper diesel for most drivers, though oil markets could get shaky again soon. Continue reading… Gas Prices Drop Across Nation As Refinery Work Winds Down UNDATED (WJON News) -- Average gasoline prices fell…
Peoria gas prices fall nearly 9 cents, but remain well above last year@959thesportsnut · 5 h agoPEORIA, Ill. – Gas prices in Peoria are continuing to decline, but drivers are still paying significantly more at the pump than they were a year ago. According to GasBuddy’s weekly survey of 148 stations in Peoria, the average price of…
Indiana Gas prices drop 19 cents in a week as Autumn relief takes holdWBIW · 6 h agoINDIANA – Pump prices are falling across Indiana following lower crude oil costs and post-maintenance refinery resets. According to GasBuddy’s weekly survey of 3,271 retail stations across the state, average regular unleaded gas prices in…
How gas prices have changed in Tampa in the last weekAction News Jax · 16 h agoStacker compiled statistics on gas prices in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro area using data from AAA. Gas prices are current as of October 26. Tampa by the numbers- Gas current price: $4.10--- Florida average: $4.09- Week…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions