Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
$11,859median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,859
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US Recession by End of 2026
The odds
90%No
- No90%
- Yes11%
How the odds have moved
No: 92% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90% | 90¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 5.00 | |
| Yes | 11% | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 231 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: recession
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Gingival recession type and related clinical problems are associated with oral health-related quality of life in adult Egyptian dental patientsThis was an observational cross-sectional study that enrolled eligible patients who were referred to dental clinics at the Department of Periodontology at the Faculties of Dentistry of Ain Shams University and Galala University, Egypt… -
ESRI warns of recession-style cuts to healthcareEconomic pressures on the healthcare system by the year 2040 will mean that ‘difficult choices have to be made’ about what gets funding, a senior researcher at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) has said, writes Jamie… - Minus AI investments, the US edges toward recessionHeavy spending on the nascent technology has been a relative bright spot for the American economy, but it also may expose vulnerability. WESTMINSTER, Colorado — Whether the latest artificial intelligence tools deliver their makers’…
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Why food benefits usage is at its lowest since the Great RecessionWBUR Here & Now's Lisa Mullins speaks with food policy journalist Helena Bottemiller Evich about why the number of people receiving federal food assistance has hit its lowest point in nearly 20 years. Experts chalk up a lot of it to the… -
Data Center Pause Could Trigger Recession, BlackRock CEO WarnsBlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggested to CNBC that a nationwide pause on U.S. data center construction could trigger a recession because the economy has become increasingly reliant on massive investments in AI infrastructure. According to… -
Could France’s debt troubles tip Italy into recession?The eurozone's second-largest economy saw its bond yields rise further on Monday, following violent street demonstrations in the country over the weekend. France's 10-year government bond yield hovered around 4.9% on Monday, near its… - PM: T&T ‘in progression, not recession’Prime Minister Kamla Persad Bissessar OFFICE OF THE PARLIAMENT Speaking during her contribution to the 2027 Budget debate in the House of Representatives yesterday, Persad-Bissessar said, “Trinidad and Tobago is not…
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Milton Friedman & Keynes Both Thought Government Could Stop RecessionsGovernments possess no demand. They just have taxing power, which means governments can only spend insofar as there’s less spending, or “demand,” from the private sector. Some will ask why this opinion piece is stating the obvious. The… -
Recession is no cause for panic—yetEven if Trinidad and Tobago is in a recession, as asserted by Opposition Leader Pennelope Beckles in her budget response last Friday, this isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Citing figures from the Central Statistical Office (CSO), the Central… -
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial ProductionOfficial recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which it bases its decisions. This committee statement is about as close as it gets… -
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The Term Spread And The Case Of The Missing 2024 Recessioninclusion of a proxy for the financial cycle — the debt service ratio (DSR) — turns out to be the best “fit.” The abstract of a new paper coauthored with Laurent Ferrara, “Missing Recessions: Revisiting the Term Spread’s Predictive Power”…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.