Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Polymarket Sports › Soccer Closes Dec 31 · $43.2K today · $577K traded · $319K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

97%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane97%
  • Lamine Yamal86%▼ 6
  • Kylian Mbappé82%▲ 3
  • Lionel Messi20%▼ 1
  • Rodri11%▼ 1
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%▲ 2
  • Fabian Ruiz5%
  • Ousmane Dembélé5%▼ 1
  • Michael Olise3%▼ 1
  • Erling Haaland3%
  • Jude Bellingham3%▲ 1
  • Luis Diaz2%
7 more
  • Pau Cubarsi1%
  • Declan Rice1%
  • Vinícius Júnior1%
  • Achraf Hakimi1%
  • Bruno Fernandes1%
  • Vitinha<1%▼ 2
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Harry Kane 97% 97¢ 97¢ $1.03 $16K
Lamine Yamal 86% ▼ 6 84¢ 88¢ $1.14 $68.7K
Kylian Mbappé 82% ▲ 3 81¢ 82¢ $1.22 $105K
Lionel Messi 20% ▼ 1 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 $51.2K
Rodri 11% ▼ 1 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $21.2K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 6% ▲ 2 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 $33.9K
Fabian Ruiz 5% 4¢ 5¢ $18.52 $46.4K
Ousmane Dembélé 5% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 $22.2K
Michael Olise 3% ▼ 1 3¢ 4¢ $23.81 $24.7K
Erling Haaland 3% 2¢ 5¢ $21.74 $6.9K
Jude Bellingham 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $21.74 $826
Luis Diaz 2% 0¢ 3¢ $34.48 $86
Pau Cubarsi 1% 1¢ 2¢ $52.63 $6K
Declan Rice 1% 0¢ 2¢ $66.67 $2.8K
Vinícius Júnior 1% 0¢ 1¢ $432
Achraf Hakimi 1% 0¢ 1¢ $93
Bruno Fernandes 1% 0¢ 1¢ $884
Vitinha <1% ▼ 2 0¢ 0¢ $166
Lautaro Martinez <1% 0¢ 0¢ $533
Mohamed Salah <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.6K
Pedri <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.8K
Cole Palmer <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $2.3K
Federico Valverde <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2K
Julian Alvarez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2.3K
Desire Doue <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $6.1K
Raphinha <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $952
Dominik Szoboszlai <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $1.2K
Cristiano Ronaldo <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $532
Rodrygo <1% 0¢ $1.2K
Enzo Fernandez <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $2.5K
Bukayo Saka <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $2.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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