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Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
The odds
- Harry Kane97%
- Lamine Yamal86%▼ 6
- Kylian Mbappé82%▲ 3
- Lionel Messi20%▼ 1
- Rodri11%▼ 1
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%▲ 2
- Fabian Ruiz5%
- Ousmane Dembélé5%▼ 1
- Michael Olise3%▼ 1
- Erling Haaland3%
- Jude Bellingham3%▲ 1
- Luis Diaz2%
7 more
- Pau Cubarsi1%
- Declan Rice1%
- Vinícius Júnior1%
- Achraf Hakimi1%
- Bruno Fernandes1%
- Vitinha<1%▼ 2
- Lautaro Martinez<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 97% | 97¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | $16K | |
| Lamine Yamal | 86% | ▼ 6 | 84¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | $68.7K |
| Kylian Mbappé | 82% | ▲ 3 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | $105K |
| Lionel Messi | 20% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $51.2K |
| Rodri | 11% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $21.2K |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 6% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $33.9K |
| Fabian Ruiz | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | $46.4K | |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 5% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $22.2K |
| Michael Olise | 3% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $24.7K |
| Erling Haaland | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $6.9K | |
| Jude Bellingham | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $826 |
| Luis Diaz | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $86 | |
| Pau Cubarsi | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $6K | |
| Declan Rice | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $2.8K | |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $432 | ||
| Achraf Hakimi | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $93 | ||
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $884 | ||
| Vitinha | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $166 | |
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $533 | ||
| Mohamed Salah | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.6K | ||
| Pedri | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.8K | ||
| Cole Palmer | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $2.3K | ||
| Federico Valverde | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2K | ||
| Julian Alvarez | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $2.3K | ||
| Desire Doue | <1% | ▼ 5 | 0¢ | $6.1K | ||
| Raphinha | <1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | $952 | ||
| Dominik Szoboszlai | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $532 | ||
| Rodrygo | <1% | 0¢ | $1.2K | |||
| Enzo Fernandez | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $2.5K | ||
| Bukayo Saka | <1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | $2.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.