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Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
The odds
- Harry Kane99%
- Lamine Yamal98%
- Kylian Mbappé95%
- Rodri78%▼ 1
- Lionel Messi70%▼ 1
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia33%▲ 10
- Michael Olise19%▼ 5
- Ousmane Dembélé18%▲ 4
- Fabian Ruiz10%▼ 2
- Erling Haaland8%▼ 1
- Jude Bellingham4%▲ 1
- Vitinha4%
7 more
- Pau Cubarsi3%
- Declan Rice3%▼ 1
- Achraf Hakimi2%▼ 1
- Luis Diaz2%
- Lautaro Martinez1%
- Vinícius Júnior1%
- Bruno Fernandes1%
How the odds have moved
Harry Kane: 99% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 99% | 99¢ | 99¢ | $4.2K | ||
| Lamine Yamal | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | $11K | |
| Kylian Mbappé | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | $18.5K | |
| Rodri | 78% | ▼ 1 | 77¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | $15.6K |
| Lionel Messi | 70% | ▼ 1 | 69¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | $31K |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 33% | ▲ 10 | 30¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | $27.7K |
| Michael Olise | 19% | ▼ 5 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $18.6K |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 18% | ▲ 4 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $18.7K |
| Fabian Ruiz | 10% | ▼ 2 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $25.1K |
| Erling Haaland | 8% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $6.3K |
| Jude Bellingham | 4% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | $1.2K |
| Vitinha | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $13K | |
| Pau Cubarsi | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $7.4K | |
| Declan Rice | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $11K |
| Achraf Hakimi | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $9.9K |
| Luis Diaz | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $203 | |
| Lautaro Martinez | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $47.62 | $142 | |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $186 | |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $93 | ||
| Mohamed Salah | <1% | ▼ 7 | 0¢ | $1.9K | ||
| Pedri | <1% | ▼ 7 | 0¢ | $1.4K | ||
| Cole Palmer | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Federico Valverde | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2.2K | ||
| Julian Alvarez | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.3K | ||
| Desire Doue | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $2K | ||
| Raphinha | <1% | ▼ 5 | 0¢ | $1.8K | ||
| Dominik Szoboszlai | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2.6K | ||
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2K | ||
| Rodrygo | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $3.2K | ||
| Enzo Fernandez | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.5K | ||
| Bukayo Saka | <1% | ▼ 6 | 0¢ | $981 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.