Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Polymarket Sports › Soccer Closes Dec 31 · $12K today · $242K traded · $117K at stake · prices read 65 min ago

The odds

99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane99%
  • Lamine Yamal98%
  • Kylian Mbappé95%
  • Rodri78%▼ 1
  • Lionel Messi70%▼ 1
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia33%▲ 10
  • Michael Olise19%▼ 5
  • Ousmane Dembélé18%▲ 4
  • Fabian Ruiz10%▼ 2
  • Erling Haaland8%▼ 1
  • Jude Bellingham4%▲ 1
  • Vitinha4%
7 more
  • Pau Cubarsi3%
  • Declan Rice3%▼ 1
  • Achraf Hakimi2%▼ 1
  • Luis Diaz2%
  • Lautaro Martinez1%
  • Vinícius Júnior1%
  • Bruno Fernandes1%

How the odds have moved

Harry Kane: 99% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Harry Kane 99% 99¢ 99¢ $4.2K
Lamine Yamal 98% 97¢ 98¢ $1.02 $11K
Kylian Mbappé 95% 94¢ 95¢ $1.05 $18.5K
Rodri 78% ▼ 1 77¢ 78¢ $1.28 $15.6K
Lionel Messi 70% ▼ 1 69¢ 70¢ $1.43 $31K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 33% ▲ 10 30¢ 35¢ $2.86 $27.7K
Michael Olise 19% ▼ 5 18¢ 20¢ $5.00 $18.6K
Ousmane Dembélé 18% ▲ 4 17¢ 18¢ $5.56 $18.7K
Fabian Ruiz 10% ▼ 2 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $25.1K
Erling Haaland 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 $6.3K
Jude Bellingham 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $19.61 $1.2K
Vitinha 4% 3¢ 5¢ $21.74 $13K
Pau Cubarsi 3% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 $7.4K
Declan Rice 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $31.25 $11K
Achraf Hakimi 2% ▼ 1 0¢ 3¢ $32.26 $9.9K
Luis Diaz 2% 0¢ 3¢ $33.33 $203
Lautaro Martinez 1% 0¢ 2¢ $47.62 $142
Vinícius Júnior 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $186
Bruno Fernandes 1% 0¢ 1¢ $93
Mohamed Salah <1% ▼ 7 0¢ $1.9K
Pedri <1% ▼ 7 0¢ $1.4K
Cole Palmer <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $1.2K
Federico Valverde <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2.2K
Julian Alvarez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.3K
Desire Doue <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2K
Raphinha <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $1.8K
Dominik Szoboszlai <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2.6K
Cristiano Ronaldo <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2K
Rodrygo <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $3.2K
Enzo Fernandez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.5K
Bukayo Saka <1% ▼ 6 0¢ $981

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane

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