#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Polymarket Culture › Music Closes Jan 31, 2027 · $2.5K today · $124K traded · $11.5K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

66%Man I Need – Olivia Dean
  • Man I Need – Olivia Dean66%▲ 5
  • Earrings – Malcom Todd31%▼ 2
  • Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%
  • Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%
  • Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%
  • Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%
  • Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson<1%
  • hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande<1%
  • Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<1%
  • Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%
  • APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars<1%
  • Swim – BTS<1%
1 more
  • Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<1%

How the odds have moved

Man I Need – Olivia Dean: 58% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETMan I Need – Olivia Dean: 63% → 51%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Man I Need – Olivia Dean 66% ▲ 5 60¢ 72¢ $1.40 $70.4K
Earrings – Malcom Todd 31% ▼ 2 29¢ 32¢ $3.13 $47.6K
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley <1% 0¢ 0¢ $473
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars <1% 0¢ 0¢ $849
Risk It All – Bruno Mars <1% 0¢ 0¢ $825
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo <1% 0¢ 0¢ $573
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson <1% 0¢ 0¢ $770
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande <1% 0¢ 0¢ $446
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $550
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj <1% 0¢ $392
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars <1% 0¢ $287
Swim – BTS <1% 0¢ $385
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson <1% 0¢ $676

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Spotify Song

Search ›
  • The 10 most-streamed songs of all time on SpotifyQuartz · 10 days agoA ranked look at the most-streamed Spotify songs ever, and why these tracks keep drawing listeners back years later One caveat applies to any ranking of this kind. Spotify's totals update continuously, so the gaps between neighboring songs…

Related markets

All music ›

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  • JAY-Z82%▲ 5
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  • Dua Lipa2%
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  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $7.2K today

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