PolymarketCryptoCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $403 today · $27.2K traded · $5.2K at stake · prices read 15 min ago
The odds
49%↓ 6
Reaches 1318%
Reaches 1415%
Reaches 168%
Falls to 749%
Falls to 649%
Falls to 513%
Falls to 413%
Falls to 38%
Already reached: ↑ 12, ↑ 11, ↑ 10, ↑ 9, ↑ 8, ↑ 7
How the odds have moved
Falls to 6: 40% on Oct 20, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 25, 9 PM ETFalls to 6: 37% → 48%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ ↑ 7
>99%
▲ 40
100¢
100¢
$225
✓ ↑ 8
>99%
▲ 49
100¢
100¢
$1.9K
✓ ↑ 9
>99%
▲ 38
100¢
100¢
$1.4K
✓ ↑ 10
>99%
▲ 55
100¢
100¢
$721
✓ ↑ 11
>99%
▲ 45
100¢
100¢
$2.1K
✓ ↑ 12
>99%
▲ 31
100¢
100¢
$2.7K
↑ 13
18%
▼ 1
15¢
20¢
$5.00
$3.5K
↑ 14
15%
▼ 2
10¢
20¢
$5.00
$4.4K
↑ 16
8%
▼ 4
6¢
10¢
$10.00
$4.7K
↓ 3
8%
▼ 1
8¢
8¢
$12.66
$1.6K
↓ 4
13%
▲ 1
10¢
17¢
$5.88
$977
↓ 5
13%
▲ 1
10¢
14¢
$6.99
$1.5K
↓ 6
49%
▲ 1
34¢
74¢
$1.35
$698
↓ 7
49%
▲ 5
5¢
83¢
$1.20
$767
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2,546 and as low as $2,250.
Reaches $2,50093%
Reaches $2,600<1%
Falls to $2,300>99%
Falls to $2,200<1%
Already reached: ↓ 2,400
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions