Largest Company end of October 2026?
83%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA83%▲ 11
- Apple16%▼ 6
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
The odds
8%December 31
- December 318%
How the odds have moved
December 31: 10% on Oct 20, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $96.5K | |||
| December 31 | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $41.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tesla, Optimus
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Just because Tesla’s Optimus is in production doesn’t mean it’s actually readyTesla is manufacturing humanoid robots while still working out how to make them useful, reliable, and durable enough for customers. On Tesla’s earnings call Wednesday, CEO Elon Musk announced that the company had begun early production of… - Tesla Begins Optimus Robot ProductionTesla has started early production of its Optimus humanoid robots in California, with Elon Musk targeting a manufacturing capacity of 20,000 robots per week by late 2027. New Delhi, October 24, 2026: Tesla has started early production of…
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Tesla unveils Optimus Academy to let humanoid robots teach themselvesElon Musk says Tesla intends to build 10,000 to 20,000 Optimus units that will practice real-world tasks to train their own AI Tesla official logo (public domain, Wikimedia Commons) — CryptoBriefing brand treatment Tesla has a new school… -
Tesla starts Optimus robot production in California as profit falls 43%Buy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Tesla has started production of its Optimus humanoid robot at its factory in Fremont, California, a manufacturing space once dedicated to making electric vehicles, the… -
Tesla begins production of 'Optimus' humanoid robotTesla has started production of its humanoid robot, "Optimus," according to Elon Musk. Tesla begins production of 'Optimus' humanoid robot Tesla has started production of its humanoid robot, "Optimus," according to Elon Musk. The robots… - Optimus: 20,000 a Week Tests Tesla’s 80% Value Claim [2026]Tesla has started Optimus production at its Fremont, California factory, and it is leaning on the humanoid robot just as the core business gets squeezed. The Times of India described the moment as Tesla pressing the accelerator on the…
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Musk: Optimus and Cybercab “Will Be the Vast Majority of Tesla’s Value” as Earnings LoomTesla (TSLA) unveiled its new Roadster last week, and the stock fell 3.1% that day, more than the Nasdaq-100’s 2.3% drop. Gary Black, managing partner of The Future Fund, saw that coming. He estimates the car adds $0.06 a share to Tesla’s… -
Tesla reveals Optimus Academy, where robots teach themselvesTesla is building its own maps to fix Navigation issues SpaceX confirms Starship 15 launch window with massive ambitions SpaceX stock gets a slew of price target boosts after bullish earnings call SpaceX showcases exactly how it plans to… -
Tesla Fell 3% as Musk Trims Capex, Delays Optimus Ramp for “The Biggest Product on Earth”Dean Drobot via Canva Tesla (TSLA) beat Wall Street’s third-quarter earnings estimates after Wednesday’s close. The stock fell 3% on Thursday anyway, closing at $375. Investors are looking past the beat to what Tesla said about the next… -
Tesla Begins Production of Optimus Humanoid Robots in CaliforniaOriginally published on PkLavc. Tesla has officially commenced the production of its Optimus humanoid robots. This manufacturing process is taking place at the company's Fremont factory, located in California. The announcement regarding… -
Tesla Officially Begins Optimus Robot Production; Demo Coming SoonTesla has officially started building Optimus robots. During Tesla’s Q3 2026 earnings call on Wednesday, Elon Musk said the company has “started what I’d call early production on a high-volume line in Fremont.” Tesla says in its Q3… -
Tesla pushes Optimus deliveries to late 2027, says hands still a problemElon Musk now says Tesla will start delivering Optimus humanoid robots to outside customers around the end of 2027. On Tesla’s Q3 2026 earnings call, he said the hands, the robot’s durability and its AI all still need work before then…
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All companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
63%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA63%▲ 4
- Apple34%▼ 4
- Alphabet2%▲ 1
5 more
- SpaceX1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
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2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
77%Apple
- Apple77%
- NVIDIA22%▲ 2
- Microsoft<1%
6 more
- Alphabet<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
- December 31>99%
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 (comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026)
10.48%median
3%12.5%
Median 10.48%Middle half 8.5% – 11.75%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions