Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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MD-03 House Election Winner
The odds
96%Sarah Elfreth (D)
- Sarah Elfreth (D)96%
- Berney Flowers (R)3%
How the odds have moved
Sarah Elfreth (D): 97% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Elfreth (D) | 96% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | $21.4K | |
| Berney Flowers (R) | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | $32.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House
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How MD distilleries could benefit from Supreme Court review on home distilled spiritsMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs How MD distilleries could benefit from Supreme Court review on home distilled spirits Capital News Service//October 21, 2026// FREDERICK – The Supreme Court is reviewing a Reconstruction-era ban on homemade… -
Shelonda Stokes, Downtown Partnership of Baltimore work to get city ‘where we want her to be’Maryland’s Most Admired CEOs Shelonda Stokes, Downtown Partnership of Baltimore work to get city ‘where we want her to be’ Sloane Brown//October 21, 2026// Shelonda Stokes tells Sloane Brown how the city of Baltimore is not only in her… -
ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
Maryland Appeals Court Upholds Approval of Annapolis City Dock Maritime Welcome CenterThe Appellate Court of Maryland has upheld the Annapolis Historic Preservation Commission’s approval of the Maritime Welcome Center at City Dock, rejecting a legal challenge filed by Historic Annapolis. The October 19th decision affirms a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions