Paris curfew announced by...?
>99%October 19
- October 19>99%▲ 99
- October 21>99%▲ 95
- October 24>99%▲ 90
1 more
- October 31>99%▲ 89
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Macron out by...?
The odds
5%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20265%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 4% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31, 2025 | <1% | 0¢ | $206K | |||
| December 31, 2025 | <1% | 0¢ | $1.4M | |||
| June 30, 2026 | <1% | 0¢ | $476K | |||
| July 31, 2026 | <1% | 0¢ | $60.8K | |||
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | $96.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Macron
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French President Macron blames ‘ultra-left’ for French riotsFrench protestors take to the streets for another weekend, as President Emanuel Macron takes a tougher stance. French President Macron blames ‘ultra-left’ for French riots French protestors take to the streets for another weekend, as… -
Mike Pompeo warns 'Macron has failed' as Paris protests spread across EuropeSenior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports on the ongoing protests in Paris. Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo discusses French President Emmanuel Macron's response and the latest threats from Iranian. Mike Pompeo warns… -
Major protests in Paris and other French cities in challenge to Macron – in picturesParis march drew 110,000 people, according to police, amid fresh nationwide demonstrations over school funding and cost of living Continue reading... Paris march drew 110,000 people, according to police, amid fresh nationwide… -
Macron condemns racism after one killed in terrorist shooting near ParisGunman opens fire from car in Trappes and Verrière, killing one and injuring five others, including a 12-year-old girl Emmanuel Macron has condemned racism in French society after a gunman opened fire from a car west of Paris on Friday… -
French President Emmanuel Macron bans illegitimate protests as curfews take effectGreg Palkot reports live from Paris on the violent protests spreading across France. French President Emmanuel Macron bans illegitimate protests and institutes curfews as shops board up windows to protect against looting. French President… -
Macron to meet student protesters in a bid to ease tensions in FranceThe talks come ahead of a new wave of protests in France this weekend, with marches banned in multiple large cities. 10/23/2026 6:41 AM EDT French President Emmanuel Macron will meet representatives of student organizations Friday… -
Macron bans non-union protests amid France unrestFrench cities have been shaken in recent weeks by vandalism and looting sparked by cost-of-living demonstrations, amid a broader crisis besieging the country’s lame-duck centrist government that has spiked French bond yields. French… -
Macron tightens protest rules as France braces for fresh wave of unrestFormer Deputy National Security Advisor Victoria Coates breaks down French protests as President Emmanuel Macron restricts demonstrations. Macron tightens protest rules as France braces for fresh wave of unrest Former Deputy National… -
State Department says Trump is 'spot on' with France protests after Macron decries 'stupid' commentsState Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott speaks to Fox News Digital about the anti-government protests sweeping across France, which President Donald Trump said is being "looted and burned to the ground by migrants, jihadists and… -
France's top soccer team obeys police order to move Sunday match; Saints, Steelers owners meet with MacronFrench President Emmanuel Macron bans illegitimate protests and implements curfews as violent clashes break out across France. Greg Palkot reports live from Paris, where businesses are boarding up windows in anticipation of a fresh wave of… -
Looting victim issues stark warning to MacronMichèle Teboul tells Fox News Digital France faces a critical test after last week's violent protests. She says some store owners have bought weapons ahead of upcoming protests. Looting victim issues stark warning to Macron Michèle Teboul… -
Macron calls for opening of Hormuz, urges Gaza ceasefireThe French president's three-day trip to the Gulf region has drawn criticism from France, which has seen widespread unrest in recent days. 10/22/2026 6:31 AM EDT French President Emmanuel Macron and Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al…
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Curfew in a major French city by...?
>99%October 24
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.