How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

Polymarket Crypto Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $332K traded · $11.3K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

19%>$200M

$0.0000$1.2B

How the odds have moved

>$200M: 48% on Oct 20, 19% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Why it moved

Oct 26, 10 PM ET>$200M: 28% → 19%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 20, 11 PM ET>$200M: 48% → 40%
- The Coinbase allegations expose Bitcoin's corporate governance gap@coindesk · 6 days ago
- Kazakhstan court bars Coinbase, five others from unlicensed crypto services in AIFC@coindesk · 7 days ago
- Kazakistan mahkemesi, AIFC'de Coinbase ve beş diğerini lisanssız kripto hizmetlerinden men etti@coindesk · 7 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
>$200M	19%	▼ 10	8¢	29¢	$3.45	$62.8K
>$400M	10%	▼ 2	2¢	14¢	$6.99	$58.8K
>$600M	10%	▼ 2	4¢	18¢	$5.56	$63.6K
>$800M	10%	▼ 6	3¢	18¢	$5.56	$42.9K
>$1B	10%		3¢	19¢	$5.26	$104K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Coinbase

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Coinbase Fined Again in Ireland, This Time $3.6M Over Fund SafeguardingDecrypt · 4 days agoCoinbase’s Irish arm has been fined roughly $3.6 million by the Central Bank of Ireland for failing to properly protect customer funds, the regulator’s second enforcement action against the exchange’s European operations in less than a…
Central bank fines Coinbase Ireland $3.6 million over fund safeguarding failures@coindesk · 4 days agoCoinbase Ireland was hit with a 3.25 million-euro ($3.6 million) fine from the country’s central bank over alleged breaches of its safeguarding and outsourcing obligations. The Irish division of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global…
Stablecoin Payments Scale Up: Coinbase-Thunes Partnershiponesafe.io · 46 h agoThis isn’t another pilot. It’s a production-ready integration that gives businesses, DAOs, and startups a shortcut to settle payments in stablecoins while tapping into a last-mile network that already reaches millions of endpoints. For any…
What the Coinbase-Thunes Deal Means for Stablecoin Paymentsonesafe.io · 46 h agoThe table below gives a worked example using approximate median costs observed across recent cross-border corridor studies (see the Spark.money analysis of stablecoin vs. traditional costs, and the Federal Reserve note on cross-border…
Top 3 Crypto Stocks to Watch This Week: Coinbase, Robinhood, PayPalThe Market Periodical · 30 h agoCrypto stocks face a busy earnings calendar this week as investors assess the impact of weaker cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin traded near $80,800 on October 25 after retreating from its early-October highs. Coinbase, Robinhood, and PayPal…
Coinbase Ireland Fine Under Fire: What the New Findings Mean@GlobalCryptoTV · 2 days agoThe Coinbase Ireland fine is a warning about a basic duty in finance: customer money must be protected and tracked correctly. Ireland’s Central Bank announced a €3,252,618 penalty on October 22. The case covers historic safeguarding and…
Bitcoin – Why Coinbase warns BTC could fall to $75K amid macro risksAMBCrypto · 2 days agoCoinbase is cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s [BTC] near-term, flagging that the macro headwind could drag the crypto asset below $80K. In its weekly market review, Coinbase Senior Quantitative Strategist Colin Basco flagged sticky…
1-year Coinbase Maturity Dave BIP-110⚡️ (@davelund_) on XX (formerly Twitter) · 2 days agoCan’t wait for a reaction video to this panel by any or all of these Bitcoiners: @jdwagner17 @keyandchain21 @Abel_XL @MythicalPleb @GregTonoski #BIP110 #BLAKE2b #XBT 1-year Coinbase Maturity Dave BIP-110⚡️ on X: "Can’t wait for a reaction…
Coinbase Sees $10M in Tokenized Stocks Deposited on Aave v4Coinfomania · 31 h agoCoinbase sees over $10M in tokenized stocks on Aave v4, indicating rising user engagement. Here's why it matters. Coinbase reports over $10M in tokenized stocks deposited on Aave v4. Deposits have surged 514.5% in the last 30 days. GOOGLc…
Coinbase Founder Brian Armstrong Gained Majority Voting Control Without Buying More Than Half the CompanyCoinpaper · 46 h agoBrian Armstrong gained 52.2% voting control of Coinbase without buying shares. Here's how its dual-class stock structure made it possible. In May 2021, Brian Armstrong gained majority voting control of Coinbase, the cryptocurrency exchange…
Amazon.com Inc. Tokenized Stock (Coinbase) Price Today in India | Live Amazon.com Inc. Tokenized Stock (Coinbase) Rate in India INR & USDGoodreturn · 3 days agoCheck Amazon.com Inc. Tokenized Stock (Coinbase) price today in India with live AMZNc rates in INR and USD. Track Amazon.com Inc. Tokenized Stock (Coinbase) price changes, market cap, trading volume, circulating supply and historical…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Coinbase Warns BTC Could Fall Toward $73,000 if Key Support BreaksCoinpaper · 2 days agoBitcoin struggles around $80,000 as ETF flows weaken. Could BTC recover toward $85,000 and $90,000 or fall to $75,000? Bitcoin is approaching another important test as the cryptocurrency struggles around $80,000 following a failed recovery…

Related markets

All crypto ›

Crypto › Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

$83,806high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $83,806 and as low as $77,619.

Reaches $82,50091%
Reaches $85,00013%

Falls to $80,000>99%
Falls to $77,50048%

Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000

Crypto › Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?

$81,000median

$70,000$94,000

Median $81,000Middle half $80,499 – $81,501

Crypto › Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

<1%↑ 96,000

Reaches $82,000<1%
Reaches $84,000<1%

Falls to $78,000<1%
Falls to $76,000<1%

Already reached: ↑ 84,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 82,000, ↓ 82,000, ↓ 84,000, ↑ 82,000

Crypto › Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?

<1%↑ 88,000

Reaches $81,000<1%
Reaches $82,000<1%

Falls to $79,000<1%
Falls to $78,000<1%

Already reached: ↓ 80,000

Crypto › Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 26?

3%↓ 79,000

Reaches $81,000<1%
Reaches $82,000<1%

Falls to $79,0003%
Falls to $78,000<1%

Already reached: ↑ 80,000

Crypto › Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

43%↑ 90,000

Reaches $90,00043%
Reaches $95,00025%

Falls to $70,00040%
Falls to $65,00025%

Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 12:00 AM ET

Traded$332K

This week$177

At stake$11.3K

In the news12 headlines today, 238 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions