Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Polymarket Sports › Tennis Final 4-6, 7-6(7-3), 6-3 · FT Starts Wed 1:10 PM ET · $21K today · $209K traded · $133K at stake · prices read 5 days ago

The odds

Marco Trungelliti>99%▲ 38

Carlo Alberto Caniato<1%▼ 38

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Marco Trungelliti	>99%	▲ 38	100¢	100¢		$209K
Carlo Alberto Caniato	<1%	▼ 38	0¢	0¢		$209K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Marco Trungelliti, Carlo Alberto Caniato

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H2H, prediction of Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato in Lisbon Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 21st October 2026Tennis Tonic - News · 6 days agoPREVIEW. Lisbon Challenger. Trungelliti and Alberto will face off in the 2nd round of the Lisbon Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 21st of October Marco Trungelliti and…
Rafael Jodar overtakes Novak Djokovic as he reaches career-high World No. 11Sports Tiger · 7 days agoRafael Jodar's breakthrough season continues as the young Spaniard reaches world No. 11, moving ahead of Novak Djokovic following his Shanghai Masters final run. Rafael Jodar has just climbed to world No. 11 in the ATP rankings, overtaking…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onatptour.com

StartsOct 21, 2026 1:10 PM ET

Trading closesOct 28, 2026 11:00 AM ET

Traded$209K

Today$21K

This week$21K

At stake$133K

Followed here sinceOct 21, 2026

The rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default,

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions