Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth?
23.02%median
13%33%
Median 23.02%Middle half 21.74% – 24.29%
Install
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?
The odds
3.25%median
-0.5%7%
Median 3.25%Middle half 2.66% – 3.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.34% on Oct 20, 3.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1% | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $650 | |
| 1% to 2.5% | 17% | ▲ 4 | 13¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $1.3K |
| 2.5% to 4% | 64% | ▼ 3 | 55¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | $2.5K |
| 4% to 5.5% | 17% | ▼ 7 | 10¢ | 21¢ | $4.78 | $7.5K |
| 5.5%+ | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $869 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Walmart
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Ex-Walmart employee shot former partner outside store over immigration dispute, DA saysOctober 26, 2026 / 2:57 PM EDT / CBS Philadelphia A former Walmart employee who allegedly married his coworker to maintain legal status in the United States is now charged in her death, Montgomery County, Pennsylvania, officials said… -
Sam’s Club Plus Now Offers Free Walmart+ for Members: Here’s How to Sign Up OnlineMembership means shoppers can get even more savings and perks with Sam's Club and Walmart, including deals on streaming, fuel, groceries and more. Sam’s Club Plus and Walmart+ just got better. Instead of paying for two separate… -
Ex-Walmart employee arrested in murder of former partner outside store over immigration disputeCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Ex-Walmart… -
Walmart Turns Black Friday Into 3-Part Shopping EventWalmart has announced what it calls “three major holiday shopping events” for Black Friday and Cyber Monday. The first of these events is scheduled for Nov. 12-15, offering “Early Black Friday Deals,” with Walmart+ members getting early… -
Walmart Launches Tools For AI Agents To Shop For CustomersWalmart has introduced new tools that will allow artificial intelligence agents to shop and complete transactions for customers, as the retailer seeks to position itself in the growing use of AI-powered assistants in online commerce. The… -
Officer who fatally shot 1-year-old in Walmart parking lot resignsHunter Foster, the police officer who fatally shot a 1-year-old boy who was sitting in his mother's lap in a Walmart parking lot in Mississippi has resigned despite being cleared of criminal wrongdoing. Jason Allen reports. Officer who… -
Walmart Takes On Prime With $120 Subscription BundleWalmart has begun offering customers the chance to combine Walmart+ and Sam’s Club Plus memberships into a single subscription.` Such a move is a “direct shot” at Amazon Prime, Brett Rose, founder and CEO at wholesale distributor United… -
Walmart sets holiday shopping event plansJoin the community built by investors, for investors. Create your free account » Walmart (WMT) announced plans on Monday to run three holiday sales from November 12 through December 2. The Early Black Friday Deals sales event runs November… -
Walmart helps make summer cheaper, lowers prices on some itemsWalmart is trying to help take the sting out of summer costs by lowering prices. The company announced that it is cutting the prices at both Walmart and Sam’s Clubs to help offset rising costs. Walmart said the price reductions will be… -
Ozark Trail Padded Loveseat Just $29 at WalmartHop over to Walmart.com where you can snag this Ozark Trail Padded Folding Loveseat for just $29 (reg. $39.35)! Ozark Trail Padded Folding Loveseat Only $29 (regularly $39.35)! This loveseat camping chair comfortably seats two adults with… -
Which Dates Could Move Walmart Stock Most?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. Higher fuel prices are also pressing on shoppers. Management said customers were making trade-offs in June, and that is why Walmart leaned so heavily into… -
Can Walmart's New Bundled Subscription Beat Amazon?Walmart (WMT -1.02%) is offering a bundled subscription deal that could knock Amazon's (AMZN -0.95%) Prime membership off its pedestal. Earlier this week, the company announced a combined Walmart+ and Sam's Club Plus membership for just…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions