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Polymarket Finance › Companies Closes Nov 18 · $176 today · $10K traded · $955 at stake · prices read 67 min ago

The odds

3.94%median
-1%7%
Median 3.94%Middle half 2.56% – 5.06%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.22% on Oct 20, 3.94% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<1% 12% ▲ 4 11¢ 13¢ $7.87 $744
1% to 3% 17% ▲ 2 16¢ 17¢ $5.75 $1.9K
3% to 5% 46% ▲ 1 44¢ 46¢ $2.17 $5.4K
5%+ 26% ▲ 6 25¢ 26¢ $3.85 $2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Target

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  • Gossip: Barcelona and Napoli target BergvallBBC Sport · 18 h agoTottenham's Sweden midfielder Lucas Bergvall, 20, is a target for Napoli and Barcelona. (Tuttomercato via Teamtalk), external Antonelli delivers 'the race of a champion who isn't the champion yet' Mourinho keeps Clasico midas touch 13…
  • Gossip: Man Utd target move for BranthwaiteBBC Sport · 18 h agoManchester United are targeting a move for 24-year-old Everton and England defender Jarrad Branthwaite as they aim to make big changes to their defence. (Football Insider), external Antonelli delivers 'the race of a champion who isn't the…
  • Goldman Sachs slashes Kospi target to 9,000 but still sees over 60% upsideCNBC · 19 h agoGoldman Sachs has slashed its 12-month target for South Korea's benchmark Kospi index to 9,000 from 12,000, citing heightened market volatility and slowing earnings momentum. Despite the sharp cut, ...
  • Latvia targets tokenization rules in 2027 with commercial property in focus@coindesk · 35 h agoLatvia could have rules for tokenizing real-world assets in place in the first half of 2027, with commercial property as a possible starting point and government bonds on the list as well. In an interview with CoinDesk, Economics Minister…
  • Murder probe after man dies in 'targeted' attackBBC News · 29 h agoA murder investigation has been launched after a man was fatally attacked by a group of people armed with weapons in Leeds. The 38-year-old victim was attacked outside a property in New Wortley at about 22:25 BST on Saturday in what police…
  • Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warnsFox News · 21 h ago‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-hosts discuss President Donald Trump’s options for dealing with Iran as intelligence warns the regime may be ramping up efforts to target Americans. Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns…
  • Groundbreaking vaccine targets deadly skin cancerFox News · 2 days agoFox News senior medical analyst Dr. Marc Siegel discusses an experimental melanoma vaccine breakthrough that reportedly lowers recurrence risk by more than 40%. Siegel also shares stories of healing from his book, 'The Angels Among Us.'…
  • MAPPED: The states Trump and top Democrats are targeting before Election DayFox News · 25 h agoVoters at the State Fair discuss whether Talarico can defeat Ken Paxton, turn Texas blue and end Democrats’ decadeslong statewide losing streak. With just nine days until Election Day, both parties are making a final push to shape the…
  • Top 10 Italy players in Serie A Week 8: Bartesaghi stars, Calò on target againYahoo Sports · 16 h agoFrosinone midfielder Giacomo Calò was the highest-rated Italy player in Serie A in the eighth round of 2026-27 fixtures that concluded on Sunday evening after netting for the second week in succession: Here is a look at the top 10…
  • Gabe Fisher ejected for targeting in Vanderbilt football vs KentuckyYahoo Sports · 2 days agoLEXINGTON, KY ― Gabe Fisher, a Vanderbilt football fullback/tight end, was ejected for targeting in the fourth quarter of the game against Kentucky at Kroger Field on Oct. 24. According to new SEC rules, Fisher will no longer be suspended…
  • Bills New Cornerback Trade Target Emerges During Bye WeekNewsweek · 2 days agoOct 24, 2026 at 03:17 PM EDT The Buffalo Bills are in a good spot right now, as they have a 5-1 record and are at the top of the AFC East. With the Bills being among the top teams in the NFL, they should once again be buyers at this year's…
  • Four-Star Quarterback Recruit Rising Up Oregon Ducks' Top TargetsOregon Ducks On SI · 2 days agoLooks like the Oregon Ducks could have their 2028 quarterback on deck. So far the Ducks have lost out on landing offerees Christopher Vargas (five-star Ohio State commit) and Trey Wright (three-star USC pledge), who made their decisions…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions