Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?

Polymarket Crypto › Bitcoin Closed, awaiting its result Closed Oct 20 · $853K today · $1.1M traded · $585K at stake

The last odds before it closed

$83,000median
$72,000$96,000
Median $83,000Middle half $82,499 – $83,501

How the odds have moved

Median: $81,818 on Oct 20, $83,000 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
74,000 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $51.1K
76,000 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $69.3K
78,000 >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $158K
80,000 >99% ▲ 6 100¢ 100¢ $224K
82,000 >99% ▲ 48 100¢ 100¢ $14K
84,000 <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $205K
86,000 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $194K
88,000 <1% 0¢ $48.2K
90,000 <1% 0¢ $9K
92,000 <1% 0¢ $16K
94,000 <1% 0¢ $8.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

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What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

$83,876high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $83,876 and as low as $77,864.

  • Reaches $82,50091%
  • Reaches $85,00017%
  • Falls to $80,000>99%
  • Falls to $77,50042%

Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions