North Dakota State vs. New Mexico

Polymarket Sports › College football Final 16-21 · End Q4 02:41' Closed, awaiting its result Closed Mon 11:15 PM ET · $485K today · $529K traded · $415K at stake

The last odds before it closed

North Dakota State<1%▼ 36

New Mexico>99%▲ 36

How the odds have moved

New Mexico: 89% on Oct 25, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
New Mexico	>99%	▲ 36	100¢			$313K
North Dakota State	<1%	▼ 36		0¢		$313K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: North Dakota State, New Mexico

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Reider: 3 final takeaways from New Mexico's win over North Dakota StateYahoo Sports · 41 h agoThree final takeaways from New Mexico's 21-16 win over North Dakota State on Saturday: 1. In the face of a major injury, a once-off-the-rader player has helped make sure UNM's defense hasn't missed a beat The next time you watch Mercury…
New Mexico Defeats North Dakota State, 21-16@ValleyNewsLive · 41 h agoALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (gobison.com) - Austin Brawley’s 56-yard interception return for touchdown in the fourth quarter held up as the winning score in New Mexico’s 21-16 victory over North Dakota State on Saturday, Oct. 24, before a crowd of…
Austin Brawley's pick-6 helps New Mexico beat North Dakota State 21-16ABC News · 2 days agoALBUQUERQUE, N.M. -- Austin Brawley returned an interception 56 yards for a touchdown early in the fourth quarter and New Mexico held on to beat North Dakota State 21-16 on Saturday night. Brawley's pick-6 gave the first-place Lobos (6-1…
MW Rankings: Duncan joins Pack’s QB puzzle; No. 1 Lobos win a thrillerNevada Appeal · 16 h agoLuke Duncan clearly stepped right into the middle of the Nevada Wolf Pack's muddy quarterback picture on Saturday. "I told him this week, 'You want to rise up and get redemption?'" Nevada coach Jeff Choate told Nevada Sports Net. "'This is…
New Mexico stifles Bison in taking big Mountain West winWahpeton Daily News · 41 h agoALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — A brief rain deluge before the North Dakota State at New Mexico Mountain West Conference football game had the Bison fans in attendance scurrying for cover. The Bison offense can relate, it spent Saturday night trying…
Brawley’s Pick-6 Lifts New Mexico Past North Dakota State, 21-16golobos.com · 2 days agoALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — In a matchup of the nation’s top-two defensive teams, it was only fitting that the biggest play of the game came from the defense. With North Dakota State driving for a potential go-ahead score in the fourth quarter…
New Mexico Football Coach Goes Absolutely Ballistic On His Own Player During Intense Sideline TiradeBroBible · 44 h agoIt was a well-deserved butt-chewing! The college football coach was informed by the referees of poor behavior that almost resulted in a penalty. He did not react positively. Don’t look now but a New Mexico team that had not made a bowl…
North Dakota State Bison at New Mexico Lobos - NCAAF Game Summary - Oct 24, 2026USA TODAY · 2 days agoNew Mexico has converted 2 of 7 3rd down plays (28.6%) this game (40.5% this season). North Dakota State has converted 3 of 7 3rd down plays (42.9%) this game (41.4% this season). That 41-yard catch by Jackson Williams was his sixth of the…
North Dakota State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Late-Night OddsSports Betting Dime · 2 days agoBy Blair Johnson in College Football New Mexico (5-1, 2-0 Mountain West) hosts North Dakota State on Saturday with a chance to extend two winning streaks: eight straight conference victories and 10 in a row at University Stadium…
North Dakota State vs New Mexico Prediction, Expert Picks, Odds Tonight: College Football Week 8Action Network · 2 days agoAction Network
FCS Head Coach Loses Cool Over Own Player Risking Costly Penalty by Getting in Opposing QB’s FaceEssentiallySports · 42 h agoOct 25, 2026 | 12:43 PM EDT New Mexico head coach Jason Eck had plenty to celebrate after his team took down North Dakota State 21-16 on Saturday. However, a moment during the Lobos’ fourth-quarter interception return caught attention for…
Bison-New Mexico had weather delay before key MWC gameInForum · 2 days agoALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — After weather looked ominous in the area surrounding University Stadium on Saturday, reality finally hit at 7:25 p.m. MT. The North Dakota State at New Mexico football game underwent a mandatory 30-minute weather delay…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onncaa.com

StartsOct 24, 2026 10:00 PM ET

Trading closedOct 26, 2026 11:15 PM ET

Traded$529K

Today$485K

This week$552K

At stake$415K

In the news1 headlines today, 22 this week

Followed here sinceOct 24, 2026

The rules

In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and New Mexico, scheduled for October 24 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions