Largest Company end of October 2026?
92%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA92%▲ 10
- Apple7%▼ 10
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
The last odds before it closed
83.5%median
81%86%
Median 83.5%Middle half 83.25% – 83.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 84.71% on Oct 20, 83.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <82% | <1% | ▼ 5 | 0¢ | $4K | ||
| 82% to 83% | <1% | ▼ 9 | 1¢ | $5.1K | ||
| 83% to 84% | 99% | ▲ 93 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3.7K | |
| 84% to 85% | <1% | ▼ 49 | 0¢ | $10.3K | ||
| 85%+ | <1% | ▼ 25 | 0¢ | $6.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United Airlines
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Suspicious text forces United Airlines flight to Newark back to Las VegasCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Suspicious text forces… -
United Airlines Flight Immediately Turns Around After Flight Attendant Spots Passenger's Concerning Text MessageThe attendant allegedly saw the passenger “texting that he was going to hijack the aircraft,” People Magazine reported. United Airlines flight 1681 initially left Las Vegas around 11 p.m. local time on Saturday and was slated to land at… -
JetBlue Airways Tumbles 16% as Creditors Hire Restructuring Advisers; United Airlines Rises 3%, Delta Edges HigherA creditor group preparing for a possible restructuring has made JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ:JBLU) the lone casualty in an otherwise firm airline sector. JetBlue Airways stock has fallen 16% to $2.22, a decline that shows shareholders pricing… -
United Airlines expands service to IsraelUnited Airlines is expanding service to Tel Aviv this weekend, resuming flights from Chicago and Washington, D.C. The move by the Chicago-based carrier, coupled with its two daily flights from its Newark hub and planned service from San… -
United Airlines flight returns to Las Vegas after flight attendant finds passenger texting about 'hijacking'; 150 passengers stranded overnightA United Airlines flight bound for New Jersey returned to Las Vegas after a flight attendant reportedly spotted a passenger texting about hijacking the aircraft, prompting the crew to secure the cockpit and alert air traffic control. A… - United Airlines passenger spotted text messaging about hijacking planeA United Airlines flight from Las Vegas to Newark returned to Harry Reid Airport on Saturday after a crew member spotted a passenger sending text messages saying he intended to hijack the aircraft, according to the online aviation…
- United Airlines delays 150 passengers overnight following serious in-flight threatA disruptive passenger forced a Newark-bound United Airlines flight to make a swift U-turn back to Las Vegas late Saturday night, grounding the cross-country trip until Sunday morning. United Flight 1681 had just departed Harry Reid…
- United Airlines Flight En Route to Newark Makes U-Turn Back to Vegas After Passenger Caught Texting About Hijacking PlaneA United Airlines flight en route to Newark, New Jersey, was forced to make an abrupt u-turn back to Las Vegas on Saturday night after flight crew caught a passenger texting about hijacking the plane. A 25-year-old unidentified male was…
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Major airline delays 150 passengers overnight following serious in-flight threatFormer American Airlines and FedEx pilot Matthew 'Whiz' Buckley discusses why a pressurization malfunction demands swift action. A disruptive passenger forced a Newark-bound United Airlines flight to make a swift U-turn back to Las Vegas… -
New details emerge after United ‘hijacking’ threat — as 25-year-old suspect’s chilling messages are revealedChilling new details have emerged in a terrifying midair security crisis that prompted a United Airlines pilot to place a Newark-bound flight on immediate lockdown over the weekend, after a passenger was caught sending explicit messages… -
United flight forced to turn around midair after crew member spotted horrifying text on passenger’s phoneA United Airlines flight heading to New Jersey returned to Las Vegas following an apparent hijacking threat Saturday. United Flight 1681 was carrying 150 passengers and six crew members from Harry Reid International Airport to Newark… -
Morgan Stanley Reaffirms Their Buy Rating on United Airlines Holdings (UAL)Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker maintained a Buy rating on United Airlines Holdings today and set a price target of $190.00. Shanker covers the Industrials sector, focusing on stocks such as Alaska Air, CSX, and Knight Transportation…
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11.66%median
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Median 11.66%
Lowe's customer transactions in Q3 2026
182.85Mhigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 182.85M.
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65%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA65%▲ 1
- Apple33%▼ 2
- Alphabet2%
5 more
- Microsoft<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions