Who will headline Coachella 2027?

Polymarket Culture › Music Closes Jan 31, 2027 · $340 today · $22.1K traded · $5.1K at stake · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

68%Tame Impala
  • Tame Impala68%▲ 2
  • Dua Lipa61%▲ 5
  • Drake46%▲ 5
  • SZA43%▲ 3
  • Kanye West19%
  • Harry Styles18%▲ 3
  • Olivia Rodrigo16%▲ 1
  • Travis Scott10%▼ 1
  • Radiohead9%▲ 1
  • BTS7%▲ 3
  • Daft Punk5%
  • Bad Bunny5%▲ 1
6 more
  • DJ Khaled5%
  • Billie Eilish5%
  • BLACKPINK3%
  • Sabrina Carpenter3%
  • Justin Bieber1%
  • Taylor Swift1%

How the odds have moved

Tame Impala: 79% on Oct 20, 68% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 11 PM ETTame Impala: 63% → 68%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETTame Impala: 79% → 64%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Tame Impala 68% ▲ 2 65¢ 70¢ $1.43 $2.5K
Dua Lipa 61% ▲ 5 59¢ 63¢ $1.59 $6.3K
Drake 46% ▲ 5 43¢ 48¢ $2.08 $2.5K
SZA 43% ▲ 3 42¢ 43¢ $2.33 $3K
Kanye West 19% 1¢ 37¢ $2.69 $40
Harry Styles 18% ▲ 3 15¢ 20¢ $5.00 $102
Olivia Rodrigo 16% ▲ 1 1¢ 30¢ $3.32 $383
Travis Scott 10% ▼ 1 8¢ 12¢ $8.33 $185
Radiohead 9% ▲ 1 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 $416
BTS 7% ▲ 3 5¢ 8¢ $12.20 $3.6K
Daft Punk 5% 3¢ 7¢ $15.15 $390
Bad Bunny 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 8¢ $13.16 $877
DJ Khaled 5% 3¢ 7¢ $15.15 $60
Billie Eilish 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 $316
BLACKPINK 3% 1¢ 4¢ $22.73 $327
Sabrina Carpenter 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 $133
Justin Bieber 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $404
Taylor Swift 1% 0¢ 2¢ $58.82 $512

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Who will headline Coachella 2027?

94%Chappell Roan
  • Chappell Roan94%▲ 88
  • Tame Impala84%▲ 2
  • Dua Lipa82%▲ 1
  • SZA52%
112 more
  • Drake50%
  • Fred again..34%▲ 1
  • Don Toliver14%
  • Rihanna13%▲ 4
  • Madonna12%
  • Olivia Rodrigo11%▲ 1
  • BTS10%▼ 2
  • Radiohead10%▲ 1
  • Miley Cyrus10%
  • Tate McRae10%▲ 3
  • Charli xcx10%
  • Bad Bunny7%▲ 1
  • Billie Eilish7%
  • Kanye West / Ye5%
  • The Marías5%▲ 1
  • Camilo5%▲ 1
  • Gracie Abrams5%▲ 1
  • Daft Punk4%
  • John Mayer4%
  • Kendrick Lamar4%
  • Post Malone4%
  • J. Cole4%
  • The Kid LAROI4%
  • ROSALÍA4%
  • Ella Langley4%
  • Taylor Swift3%
  • Ariana Grande3%▼ 3
  • PinkPantheress3%
  • Tyla3%
  • Olivia Dean3%▼ 2
  • The Weeknd3%
  • Justin Bieber3%▼ 1
  • Ed Sheeran3%
  • Travis Scott3%
  • Eminem3%▼ 1
  • J Balvin3%
  • Future3%
  • Ozuna3%
  • Coldplay3%
  • Nicki Minaj3%
  • Chris Brown3%
  • David Guetta3%
  • Lana Del Rey3%
  • 21 Savage3%
  • Anuel AA3%
  • Khalid3%
  • Lady Gaga3%
  • Lil Baby3%
  • Maroon 53%
  • Calvin Harris3%
  • Sia3%
  • Young Thug3%
  • Linkin Park3%
  • Doja Cat3%
  • Shawn Mendes3%
  • Sam Smith3%
  • Trippie Redd3%
  • Charlie Puth3%
  • Zach Bryan3%
  • Jason Derulo3%
KalshiCloses Dec 30, 2027 · $123 today · $104K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Coachella, Tame Impala, Dua Lipa

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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $15.9K today

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions