How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
68%Below 4.85%
4.8%5.13%
Install
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
The odds
2%5.32%
10Y Yield now 4.986 −0.04% 5.29%5.65%
Above today's price —
How the odds have moved
5.32%: 18% on Oct 20, 2% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ET5.32%: 13% → 18%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 5.29% | >99% | ▲ 11 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $637 | |
| 5.32% | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $28.57 | $5.8K |
| 5.35% | 2% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | $4.6K | |
| 5.38% | 2% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $4.7K | |
| 5.41% | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | $5.8K |
| 5.45% | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | $3.1K | |
| 5.50% | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $58.82 | $4.1K |
| 5.55% | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $2.1K | |
| 5.60% | 1% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
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Scott Bessent says Iran's economy is 'collapsing' as Treasury tightens financial viseTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins Brian Kilmeade to discuss President Donald Trump's economic crackdown on Iran, mounting pressure on the Iranian regime, trade tensions with Canada and Mexico and the outlook for the U.S. economy… -
10-year treasury yield is attractive, says Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa ahead of Fed meetingSubadra Rajappa, Societe Generale head of research, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what's ahead for the federal reserve, the state of the bond market, and more. 10-year treasury yield is attractive, says Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa… -
U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decisionU.S. Treasury yields inched lower Monday as investors look ahead to the central bank's interest rate decision and await a flurry of economic data this week. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was down less than 1 basis point to 4.98%… -
Tipalti launches treasury solutionNumeral announced the launch of a partner program for accounting and advisory firms, offering revenue sharing and firm development support. From charitable gifts to opportunity zone gains, here are fourth-quarter tax moves advisors should… -
Ripple Equips Its Treasury Tool With New CapabilitiesBlockchain company Ripple has announced new capabilities for its treasury product. The updated Ripple Treasury allows businesses to manage cash, payments and liquidity around the clock, the company said in its announcement Monday (Oct… -
Brazil Treasury Buys Back US$1.3B of Bonds—The buyback. Brazil’s Treasury bought back about R$7.1 billion (US$1.3 billion) of fixed-rate NTN-F bonds on Monday. —The trigger. Long-term borrowing costs jumped after President Lula won re-election on Sunday with 51.79% of valid votes… -
Treasury Firm Strive Makes Massive Bitcoin Purchase, Acquiring $511,000,000 Worth of BTCThe Bitcoin treasury firm Strive (ASST) just acquired $511 million worth of BTC. The Dallas-based company bought 6,182 Bitcoin between October 16th and 23rd, stretching its total holdings to 43,000 BTC, per documents filed with the U.S… -
BNC Stock Gains 14% as BNB Treasury Shift Drives Nasdaq RebrandCEA has rebranded as BNB Standard Corporation, marking its financial shift into BNB Treasury operations while maintaining its initial agricultural focus. With 515,544 BNB, the company is now the world's largest corporate BNB Treasury. BNC… -
Ripple Treasury Goes 24/7, Lets AI Move Corporate CashCorporate treasury is going always-on. 🌐 Today, we're introducing new Ripple Treasury capabilities that bring together AI-powered automation, liquidity management, and digital asset infrastructure to help businesses manage and move money… -
Democrats Ask Treasury About Delayed IRS Data“Rep. Mike Thompson (D-CA), the top Democrat on the House Ways and Means Tax Subcommittee, and nine of his fellow tax writers are demanding the Treasury Department explain why it is delaying the release of tax-filing data showing how… -
The $1 Trillion Treasury Shock Brewing In JapanFor decades, Japanese investors hunted for income abroad because rates at home were too low. Not anymore. Last week, Japan auctioned a batch of 20-year government bonds to record demand. Investors submitted bids worth 5.84 times the amount… -
Tron Inc. Expands TRX Treasury Beyond 720.5 Million as Price Nears $0.33Home > Tron News > Tron Inc. Expands TRX Treasury Beyond 720.5 Million as Price Nears $0.33 The TRX treasury expanded this Monday, October 26, following the purchase of 150,997 units of the digital asset, solidifying a corporate balance…
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All rates & bonds ›How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
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30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
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1.74%8.24%
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How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
29%Below 4.60%
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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026?
4.99%median
4.83%5.15%
Median 4.99%Middle half 4.95% – 5.01%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
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5.6%6.1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions