Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026

Polymarket Sports › Soccer Closes Dec 31 · $244K today · $417K traded · $58.8K at stake · prices read 14 h ago

The odds

>99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane>99%
  • Lamine Yamal>99%
  • Kylian Mbappé>99%
  • Rodri>99%▲ 1
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia>99%▲ 8
  • Lionel Messi>99%▲ 1
  • Fabian Ruiz>99%▲ 28
  • Ousmane Dembélé>99%▲ 6
  • Erling Haaland>99%▲ 25
  • Michael Olise>99%▲ 4
  • João Neves1%▼ 1
  • Gabriel Magalhães1%
18 more
  • Bruno Fernandes<1%▼ 3
  • Julián Quiñones<1%▼ 1
  • William Saliba<1%▼ 3
  • Pau Cubarsi<1%▼ 17
  • Jude Bellingham<1%▼ 26
  • Vinícius Júnior<1%▼ 2
  • Declan Rice<1%▼ 16
  • Vitinha<1%▼ 11
  • Achraf Hakimi<1%▼ 3
  • Luis Diaz<1%▼ 2
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%▼ 2
  • Marc Cucurella<1%▼ 2
  • Sadio Mané<1%▼ 1
  • Marquinhos<1%▼ 1
  • Nuno Mendes<1%▼ 2
  • Willian Pacho<1%▼ 2
  • Ferran Torres<1%▼ 2
  • Dayot Upamecano<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Harry Kane: >99% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Harry Kane >99% 100¢ 100¢ $630
Lamine Yamal >99% 100¢ 100¢ $2.1K
Kylian Mbappé >99% 100¢ 100¢ $1.4K
Rodri >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $4.9K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia >99% ▲ 8 100¢ 100¢ $16.4K
Lionel Messi >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $5.8K
Fabian Ruiz >99% ▲ 28 100¢ 100¢ $42.7K
Ousmane Dembélé >99% ▲ 6 100¢ 100¢ $11.1K
Erling Haaland >99% ▲ 25 100¢ 100¢ $15.8K
Michael Olise >99% ▲ 4 100¢ 100¢ $10.7K
João Neves 1% ▼ 1 1¢ $83.33 $4.5K
Gabriel Magalhães 1% 1¢ $100.00 $1.6K
Bruno Fernandes <1% ▼ 3 1¢ $7.9K
Julián Quiñones <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $3.7K
William Saliba <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $6.9K
Pau Cubarsi <1% ▼ 17 0¢ $28.3K
Jude Bellingham <1% ▼ 26 0¢ $134K
Vinícius Júnior <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $4.8K
Declan Rice <1% ▼ 16 0¢ $18.8K
Vitinha <1% ▼ 11 0¢ $37.2K
Achraf Hakimi <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $11.8K
Luis Diaz <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $5K
Lautaro Martinez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2.7K
Marc Cucurella <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $7K
Sadio Mané <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $898
Marquinhos <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $722
Nuno Mendes <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $11.4K
Willian Pacho <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2.7K
Ferran Torres <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $13.3K
Dayot Upamecano <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions