What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket Finance › Stocks Closes Sat 11:59 PM ET · $3.5K today · $22K traded · $9.9K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

The odds

$167.37high with an even chance
Space Exploration Technologies now 146.90 −0.40%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $167.37 and as low as $138.35.

  • Reaches $150>99%
  • Reaches $155>99%
  • Reaches $160>99%
  • Reaches $16555%
  • Reaches $17045%
  • Reaches $17535%
  • Reaches $18035%
  • Reaches $18535%
  • Falls to $145>99%
  • Falls to $14064%
  • Falls to $13523%
  • Falls to $13023%
  • Falls to $12523%
  • Falls to $12023%
  • Falls to $11510%

Already reached: ↑ $175, ↑ $170, ↑ $165, ↑ $160, ↑ $155, ↑ $150

How the odds have moved

Falls to $140: 70% on Oct 20, 64% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETFalls to $140: 55% → 67%
  2. Oct 20, 11 PM ETFalls to $140: 70% → 23%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ ↑ $150 >99% ▲ 12 100¢ 100¢ $62
✓ ↑ $150 >99% ▲ 31 100¢ 100¢ $1.2K
↑ $150 >99% ▲ 24 100¢ 100¢ $540
✓ ↑ $155 >99% ▲ 23 100¢ 100¢
↑ $155 >99% ▲ 29 100¢ 100¢ $510
✓ ↑ $160 >99% ▲ 17 100¢ 100¢ $20
↑ $160 >99% ▲ 35 100¢ 100¢ $510
✓ ↑ $165 >99% ▲ 42 100¢ 100¢ $164
✓ ↑ $165 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $60
✓ ↑ $165 >99% ▲ 11 99¢ 100¢ $10
↑ $165 55% ▲ 32 10¢ 99¢ $1.01
✓ ↑ $170 >99% ▲ 45 99¢ 100¢ $71
↑ $170 45% ▲ 38 1¢ 89¢ $1.12 $650
✓ ↑ $175 >99% ▲ 41 100¢ 100¢ $1
↑ $175 35% ▲ 1 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 $98
↑ $180 35% 0¢ 100¢ $531
↑ $185 35% ▼ 1 1¢ 95¢ $1.05
↑ $190 29% 1¢ 29¢ $3.45 $5
↑ $195 29% ▼ 4 0¢ 87¢ $1.15 $8.6K
↑ $200 15% ▲ 10 0¢ 29¢ $3.44 $880
↓ $115 10% 0¢ 19¢ $5.29 $212
↓ $120 23% ▼ 21 0¢ 60¢ $1.67 $788
↓ $125 23% ▼ 13 1¢ 77¢ $1.30 $760
↓ $130 23% ▼ 4 2¢ 10¢ $9.90 $1.6K
↓ $135 23% ▼ 39 13¢ 18¢ $5.56 $1.5K
↓ $140 64% ▼ 3 37¢ 90¢ $1.11 $1.1K
✓ ↓ $145 >99% ▲ 48 100¢ 100¢ $193
✓ ↓ $145 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $135
✓ ↓ $145 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $10
↓ $145 >99% ▲ 36 100¢ 100¢ $1.3K
✓ ↓ $150 >99% 99¢ 100¢ $10
✓ ↓ $150 >99% ▲ 24 100¢ 100¢ $10
✓ ↓ $155 >99% ▲ 11 100¢ 100¢ $250
✓ ↓ $160 >99% ▲ 31 100¢ 100¢ $15
✓ ↓ $165 >99% ▲ 16 100¢ 100¢ $60
✓ ↓ $170 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $60

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: SpaceX, SPCX

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions