F1 Drivers' Champion

Polymarket Sports › F1 & racing Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $54.8K today · $204M traded · $1.3M at stake · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

98%Kimi Antonelli

Kimi Antonelli98%
Max Verstappen1%
Lewis Hamilton<1%
Lando Norris<1%
George Russell<1%
Charles Leclerc<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Kimi Antonelli	98%	98¢	98¢	$1.02	$4.8M
Max Verstappen	1%	1¢	1¢	$76.92	$6.5M
Lewis Hamilton	<1%	0¢	0¢		$5.6M
Lando Norris	<1%		0¢		$7M
George Russell	<1%		0¢		$3.1M
Charles Leclerc	<1%		0¢		$5.5M
Oscar Piastri	<1%		0¢		$6.5M
Isack Hadjar	<1%		0¢		$9.4M
Fernando Alonso	<1%		0¢		$9.1M
Lance Stroll	<1%		0¢		$11.7M
Esteban Ocon	<1%		0¢		$9.5M
Oliver Bearman	<1%		0¢		$12.9M
Nico Hülkenberg	<1%		0¢		$8.5M
Gabriel Bortoleto	<1%		0¢		$10.9M
Pierre Gasly	<1%		0¢		$11.5M
Franco Colapinto	<1%		0¢		$12.2M
Liam Lawson	<1%		0¢		$10.7M
Arvid Lindblad	<1%		0¢		$12M
Alexander Albon	<1%		0¢		$11.9M
Carlos Sainz Jr.	<1%		0¢		$11.1M
Valtteri Bottas	<1%		0¢		$12.2M
Sergio Pérez	<1%		0¢		$11.8M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Formula 1, Grand Prix, F1 Drivers

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Median 24.5Middle half 9.50 – 49.5

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$204M

Today$54.8K

This week$204M

At stake$1.3M

In the news2 headlines today, 110 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.