Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 1 PM ETReaches 14.50M: 69% → 49%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 13M
99%
$1.01
1.4K
✓ Above 13.5M
99%
$1.01
1.4K
✓ Above 14M
99%
$1.01
7.8K
Above 14.5M
49%
▼ 21
47¢
50¢
$2.00
554
Above 15M
42%
▲ 13
39¢
45¢
$2.22
1.4K
Above 15.5M
38%
▼ 6
34¢
41¢
$2.44
16.00
Above 16M
36%
31¢
41¢
$2.44
Above 16.5M
33%
29¢
37¢
$2.70
Above 17M
28%
24¢
31¢
$3.23
Above 17.5M
26%
22¢
29¢
$3.45
Above 18M
13%
15¢
38¢
$2.63
773
Above 18.5M
13%
10¢
23¢
$4.35
800
Above 19M
10%
6¢
25¢
$4.00
2.8K
Above 19.5M
10%
8¢
16¢
$6.25
205
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ariana Grande looks dramatically different with striking new hair transformationHELLO! · 14 h agoPop star Ariana Grande unveiled a whole new look after stepping back from the spotlight in September, following the conclusion of her Eternal Sunshine Tour. The 33-year-old took to Instagram to share her brand-new hairstyle, which…
Ariana Grande swaps her signature ponytail for a retro ‘Betty Boop bob’EasternEye · 2 days agoCelebrity hairstylists share how to recreate the look at home The singer and actress recently showcased a sleek, shoulder-length brunette cut Ariana Grande is giving her signature ponytail a break with a fresh hairstyle that puts a…
Why Warner Music Is Suing Sunglasses Giant Luxottica For $64 MillionForbes · 20 h agoThe complaint claims 427 songs from Miley Cyrus, Led Zepellin, Bruno Mars, Ariana Grande, Dua Lipa, Fleetwood Mac and others were used in Luxottica posts on Instagram and other social platforms that were commercials not friendly social…
Fourth couple booted off Strictly Come Dancing following dance-offThe Standard · 21 h agoFormer England footballer Shaun Wright-Phillips and his professional dance partner Alexis Warr have become the fourth couple to leave Strictly Come Dancing. The pair lost out in the dance-off to actress Jaime Winstone and her partner…
Fourth couple voted off Strictly as show reveals Halloween twistThe Standard · 21 h agoEx-England footballer Shaun Wright-Phillips and professional partner Alexis Warr were the fourth couple to be voted off Strictly Come Dancing. The duo lost the dance-off to actress Jaime Winstone and Carlos Gu, who ended up in the bottom…
Strictly Come Dancing announces surprise format change as fourth couple exitsThe Independent · 21 h agoThe departing celebrity was earlier criticised as ‘flat-footed and out of time’ Shaun Wright-Phillips has become the fourth celebrity to exit this year's Strictly Come Dancing, leaving the competition with his professional partner Alexis…
Who is Naré? Meet the winner of Junior Eurovision 2026ESCplus · 37 h agoNaré is the winner of the Junior Eurovision Song Contest 2026. The 13-year-old singer from Yerevan gave Armenia its third victory in the children’s contest with «BOO!» on 24 October in Ta’ Qali (Malta), after topping the online vote. But…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions