Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes May 19, 2027 · $5.2K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

3.89%median

3.2%5.2%

Median 3.89%Middle half 3.56% – 4.2%

How the odds have moved

Median: 3.9% on Oct 20, 3.89% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 3.4%	83%	▼ 2	79¢	87¢	$1.15	2.1K
Above 3.6%	73%	▼ 4	69¢	77¢	$1.30	1.1K
Above 3.8%	62%	▼ 3	57¢	66¢	$1.52	2.9K
Above 4%	37%	▲ 2	33¢	40¢	$2.50	1.1K
Above 4.2%	25%	▲ 3	21¢	29¢	$3.45	988
Above 4.4%	16%	▲ 1	11¢	20¢	$5.00	576
Above 4.6%	9%	▲ 1	5¢	13¢	$7.69	9.00
Above 4.8%	7%	▲ 1	2¢	11¢	$9.09	883
Above 5%	4%			7¢	$14.29	650

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Walmart

Search ›

Walmart’s Flipkart is quietly building a food delivery challenger in IndiaTechCrunch · 3 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Flipkart, the Walmart-owned Indian e-commerce giant, is preparing to challenge India’s food-delivery duopoly of Zomato and Swiggy. It is entering a fiercely competitive…
Arrest made after 81-year-old bystander killed outside Gainesville Walmart; second teen wantedCBS News · 3 days agoOctober 19, 2026 / 2:48 PM EDT / CBS Atlanta An 18-year-old has been arrested and a second teenager is wanted after an 81-year-old man was shot and killed while leaving a Gainesville Walmart, police said. Kamari Nehemiah Tilmuth, of…
Man stole rifle from Pennsylvania Walmart store after providing fake paperwork, police sayCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Man stole…
Walmart in Taylor evacuated after bomb threat; nothing foundCBS News · 4 days agoOctober 17, 2026 / 10:51 PM EDT / CBS Detroit Police in Taylor, Michigan, say a bomb threat prompted the evacuation of a Walmart in the city Saturday evening, adding that law enforcement found nothing while searching the store. According…
Walmart sells U.S. debt, eyes Canadian marketTransport Topics · 3 days agoWalmart Inc. is selling U.S. dollar bonds for a second time this year and sounding out investors for a debut Canadian debt offering as the world’s largest retailer seeks to diversify its funding sources amid a spending spree. The company…
Walmart wins in a high-inflation environment, says D.A. Davidson's Michael BakerCNBC · 6 days agoCNBC Walmart wins in a high-inflation environment, says D.A. Davidson's Michael Baker
Walmart And Its Real ValueSeeking Alpha · 4 days agoWalmart shows strong long-term fundamentals and digital growth, but an elevated P/E suggests caution. Read the latest analysis on WMT stock here. - Walmart Inc. demonstrates strong long-term fundamentals, robust growth in digital…
New Jersey man indicted for setting fire in Maryland WalmartCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News New Jersey man indicted for setting fire in Maryland Walmart Maryland elections board responds after suspicious mailing Jury deliberations continue for 3rd day in Baltimore rowhome fire Baltimore Running Festival brings road…
Walmart and Target address AI pricing and consumer data concernsMarketing Tech News · 3 days agoAI & Intelligent Marketing, Compliance & Regulation, Features, Loyalty & Retention, Personalised Shopping, Privacy & Consent Management, Transparency & Trust US retailers Walmart and Target have denied using customers’ personal information…
This Powerful Lenovo Laptop Is Down to $629 at WalmartLifehacker · 3 days agoThe Lenovo V14 G5 14-inch FHD laptop is on sale for $629 at Walmart, delivering a powerful Intel Core i7 processor, 16GB of RAM, and a 1TB SSD. If youâre shopping around for a reliable laptop but donât want to spend an arm and a leg on…
All The Best Deals At Walmart This WeekBuzzFeed · 3 days agoIt’s another week of fall savings with up to 63% off an electric space heater, a cozy fleece-lined throw blanket, and some fuzzy Halloween slippers. I am a contributor who has been writing for the BuzzFeed Shopping team since 2021…

Related markets

All companies ›

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of December 2026?

60%NVIDIA

NVIDIA60%▼ 13
Apple37%▲ 15
Alphabet1%

5 more

Microsoft<1%
SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of October 2026?

69%NVIDIA

NVIDIA69%▼ 22
Apple28%▲ 20
Alphabet<1%

6 more

Microsoft<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%

Finance › Companies

Lemonade total customers in Q3 (total customers in Q3 2026)

3.54Mmedian

3.42M3.60M

Median 3.54MMiddle half 3.52M – 3.55M

Finance › Companies

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

99%October 31

October 3199%▲ 1
November 3099%▲ 1
December 3199%▲ 14

Finance › Companies

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

45%Microsoft

Microsoft45%▼ 10
Alphabet39%▼ 1
Apple5%▲ 1

6 more

NVIDIA1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%

Finance › Companies

Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin?

25.04%median

20%30%

Median 25.04%Middle half 24.49% – 25.59%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFiscal.ai

Trading closesMay 19, 2027 1:00 AM ET

Traded$5.2K (10,315 contracts)

This week$5.2K

At stake$2.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Walmart Inc. reports Above 3.4% walmart us comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Walmart Inc.WMT · about the company121.12+2.82%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.