Largest Company end of December 2026?
59%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA59%▲ 1
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet2%▲ 1
5 more
- SpaceX1%
- Microsoft1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3
The odds
3.46%median
2.6%5.2%
Median 3.46%Middle half 3.02% – 4.05%
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.48% on Oct 20, 3.46% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.8% | 86% | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| Above 3% | 76% | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| Above 3.2% | 65% | ▼ 1 | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | |
| Above 3.4% | 54% | ▼ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 1.6K |
| Above 3.6% | 42% | ▼ 1 | 37¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 758 |
| Above 3.8% | 35% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 391 |
| Above 4% | 27% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 803 |
| Above 4.2% | 21% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 620 |
| Above 4.4% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 136 | |
| Above 4.6% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 148 | |
| Above 4.8% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 64.00 | |
| Above 5% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 432 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Walmart
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Officer who fatally shot 1-year-old in Walmart parking lot resignsHunter Foster, the police officer who fatally shot a 1-year-old boy who was sitting in his mother's lap in a Walmart parking lot in Mississippi has resigned despite being cleared of criminal wrongdoing. Jason Allen reports. Officer who… -
2nd suspect arrested for murder of 81-year-old man during fight outside Gainesville Walmart, police sayOctober 23, 2026 / 5:13 PM EDT / CBS Atlanta Over a week after an 81-year-old man was shot and killed while leaving a Gainesville Walmart, authorities say they've made a new arrest in the case. The Gainesville Police Department said that… -
Mississippi officer resigns after fatal shooting of 1-year-old in car outside Walmart during pursuitMississippi police officer Hunter Foster has resigned after shooting into a moving vehicle, resulting in the death of 1-year-old Kohen Wiley, while pursuing two women suspected of shoplifting from a local Walmart earlier this year… -
Walmart employee shot and killed after work in Cheltenham, Pennsylvania, DA saysOctober 22, 2026 / 3:00 PM EDT / CBS Philadelphia A Walmart employee was fatally shot after her shift at the Cheltenham, Pennsylvania, store on Wednesday night, officials said. Latosha Ann Cooper, 45, was shot and killed around 11:30 p.m… -
New video shows deadly Mississippi Walmart shootingNBC News New video shows deadly Mississippi Walmart shooting -
Offset Spreads the Love & Surprises Women at Walmart With Bouquets: ‘Offset Finna Snatch Our Grandmas’"All beautiful queens deserve to be celebrated," the wrapper wrote. Offset is spreading the love ahead of his GMFU album. The Atlanta native stopped by a Walmart on Wednesday (Oct. 21) and blessed numerous women with flower bouquets; many… -
Walmart is inviting AI agents to shop for youWhile Amazon shuts out AI agents, Walmart is letting them in. Walmart will soon let AI agents shop on its website for you. Next month, the retail giant will allow you to connect your own AI agent to the site, with systems in place to let… -
While Amazon blocks AI agents, Walmart rolls out the welcome matBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Walmart is embracing agentic commerce with the launch of its own Agent Gateway to manage transactions and other new features aimed at customers using AI agents, the… -
Walmart Launches Walmart+, Sam's Club Plus Bundle MembershipWalmart launched a membership plan combining Walmart+ and Sam's Club Plus for $120 a year, the company said Tuesday. The bundle costs nearly $100 less than purchasing the two memberships... Food Retail & Distribution Walmart Launches… -
How to Prevent Overselling Across Shopify, Amazon, and WalmartSelling products across Shopify, Amazon, and Walmart is a great way to reach more customers and grow your ecommerce business. However, managing inventory across multiple platforms can quickly become challenging, especially when orders… -
Indiana lawmaker resigning after shoplifting allegations — blames ‘cognitive’ decline for string of Walmart swipesHe’s got sticky fingers! An Indiana lawmaker is stepping down after allegedly shoplifting from multiple Walmart stores — and then blaming his lapse in judgment on cognitive decline. State Sen. Ron Alting, a Republican, was reportedly… -
Chinese Shoppers Are Joining Membership Clubs. Walmart Is Winning.China’s consumers are turning away from brand-exclusive stores and flocking to membership clubs. The divide offers a lesson for global investors. Oops, something went wrong Chinese Shoppers Are Joining Membership Clubs. Walmart Is Winning…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.