Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
29.1median
2437
Median 29.1Middle half 27.3 – 29.8
Install
How many weeks will Iceman spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
The odds
9%At least 5 weeks
47
How the odds have moved
At least 5 weeks: 10% on Oct 20, 9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 5 weeks | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 123.1K | |
| At least 6 weeks | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 39.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iceman, Billboard
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Olivia Rodrigo’s ‘You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love’ Returns to No. 1 on Billboard 200Plus, Zach Bryan's Young Manhood and Other Donatable Organs debuts at No. 2. Rodrigo’s album spent its first two weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 (dated June 27 and July 4) and has yet to leave the weekly top five in its 19 weeks on the… -
Maluma Opens Up About Therapy and Finding Balance at Billboard Latin Music Week & More Uplifting MomentsPlus, Pablo Alborán and RIZA turn a LMW songwriting sesh into a finished song, and Nanpa Básico and Nella bring hope to the 2026 BBLMAs. From career milestones to new music releases to major announcements and those little important… -
Rosalía Honored With 2026 Billboard Hall of Fame Award at Billboard Latin Music Awards: ‘I Will Never Forget This Moment’The Spanish artist received the award at the 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards on Thursday (Oct. 22). Rosalía was honored with the Billboard Hall of Fame Award at the 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards on Thursday night (Oct. 22). Dominican… -
In Canada: Summer Walker, Bebe Rexha to Accept Awards at Billboard Canada Women in Music 2026Also this week: Drake finances a new album for a Canadian rapper and Tate McRae's Victoria's Secret performance draws criticism. Billboard Canada has announced some more major global names for Billboard Canada Women In Music, where Cardi B… -
AARP Celebrated the Power of Music, Reinvention and Legacy at Billboard Latin Music Week 2026From the Latin Music Legacy Award presented by AARP to a cross-generational conversation with salsa icons Tito Nieves and Luis Figueroa, AARP championed the artists, stories and connections that kept… AARP took center stage at Billboard… -
Billboard & Starlite Announce the Return of Billboard No. 1s to Spain in 2026-2027: ‘We’ve Strengthened This Strategic Alliance’Leila Cobo of Billboard and Sandra García-Sanjuán of Starlite Music Group made the announcement on Tuesday (Oct. 20) during Billboard Latin Music Week. Deputy Editor, Billboard Español Billboard and Starlite Music Group, the Spanish… -
Fuerza Regida Wins Big at Billboard Latin Music Awards 2026: Complete ListThe ceremony was broadcasted live on Telemundo from the James L. Knight Center in Miami. Deputy Editor, Billboard Español The 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards ceremony has begun, with the biggest stars of the moment gathered Thursday… -
Cristian Castro Accepts the Billboard Lifetime Achievement Award ‘In the Name of Romantic Love’Cristian Castro received the Lifetime Achievement Award and performed at the 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards ceremony. Cristian Castro became emotional on Thursday evening (Oct. 22) as he accepted the Billboard Lifetime Achievement Award… -
John Anderson’s Biggest Billboard Hits: ‘Swingin’,’ ‘Straight Tequila Night’ & MoreThe Country Music Hall of Famer scored five No. 1s among 20 top 10s on Hot Country Songs. John Anderson, the country singer-songwriter whose unmistakable drawl and traditional sound made him one of country music’s most distinctive voices… -
Talking Music: The New Wave of Podcasters | Billboard Latin Music Week 2026Talking Music: The New Wave of Podcasters Billboard Agushto Papa, Juancito and Jess Judith share how podcasting has changed the game, and how their lives have changed with it. The 2026 Billboard Latin Music Week takes place from Oct. 19 to… -
Rubén Blades Receives Icon Award at 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards: ‘Nobody Becomes an Icon Without Help’The legendary Panamanian artist was honored the day after his Icon Q&A at Billboard Latin Music Week. Blades concluded his remarks by paraphrasing the late, legendary Mexican singer and actor Pedro Vargas: “As the ‘Immortal Tenor of the… -
Fuerza Regida Reveals Which Questions They Wished They’d Asked Memo Ochoa | Billboard Latin Music Awards 2026Fuerza Regida Reveals Which Questions They Wished They'd Asked Memo Ochoa Billboard Fuerza Regida chatted with Billboard’s Ingrid Fajardo & Jessica Roiz on the red carpet of 2026 Billboard’s Latin Music Awards. A daily briefing on what…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions