Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.29%median
42%66%
Median 50.29%Middle half 47.15% – 53.4%
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Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent
The odds
53.6%median
46%64%
Median 53.6%Middle half 51.41% – 55.74%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.95% on Oct 20, 53.6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.0K |
| At least 50% | 87% | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 700 | |
| At least 52% | 70% | ▲ 1 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 54% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 56% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 58% | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 60% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Macomb County, Mike Rogers, Michigan
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Mike Rogers: If we don't fix this, we're all in troubleMichigan GOP U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rogers discusses the war with Iran, healthcare policy, the automobile industry and more on ‘Special Report.’ Mike Rogers: If we don't fix this, we're all in trouble Michigan GOP U.S. Senate candidate… -
Michigan paper declares it won't seek comment from Mike Rogers due to 'lies and bigoted attacks' on El-SayedA Michigan newspaper declared Wednesday it will no longer seek comment from the campaign of Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers over what it described as his "lies and bigoted attacks" against his Democratic rival, Abdul El-Sayed. "For… -
AIPAC Dumps Last-Minute $9M Behind Mike Rogers in Rebuke of Abdul El-SayedOct 22, 2026 at 05:12 PM EDT The super PAC controlled by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) is sending up to $9 million to a group backing Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan's U.S. Senate race, The New York Times reported… -
Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash in bitterly personal debateCNN Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash in bitterly personal debate A debate between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race was bitterly personal and contentious, while Republican Roger Marshall and… -
Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers’ final debate clash sets up final sprint in MichiganThe second Michigan Senate debate on Wednesday featured several heated clashes between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers, though it was far more tame than an explosive first meeting earlier this… -
Trump-aligned PAC pours $25 million into ads backing Mike RogersFox News Trump-aligned PAC pours $25 million into ads backing Mike Rogers Fox News White House correspondent Aishah Hasnie reports on Michigan's U.S. Senate race as GOP nominee Mike Rogers kicks off a bus tour and a Trump-aligned PAC… -
Mike Rogers says Abdul El-Sayed is a national security ‘risk’ who’s ‘bought’ by Muslim Brotherhood in testy Michigan Senate debateMichigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers torched his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, during their debate Wednesday over his alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. Rogers, a former Republican congressman and retired FBI agent, brought up… -
Mike Rogers launches statewide bus tour ahead of midterm electionUpdated on: October 21, 2026 / 4:53 PM EDT / CBS Detroit With less than two weeks before the midterm election, Republican Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rogers launched a statewide bus tour. "This is the race of our lifetime. This is… -
DOJ sending election monitors to seven Michigan communities, including one in Macomb CountyBy Kyle Davidson, Michigan Advance After sending federal monitors to three Michigan cities for the primary election, the U.S. Department of Justice will once again send monitors to observe elections on Nov. 3, according to state officials… -
Michigan Democrat endorses GOP’s Mike Rogers in Senate raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
In the Michigan Senate Race, Mike Rogers Is Stoking Jewish Fear. Will it Work?Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee for US Senate in Michigan, at a campaign stop in a Detroit suburb on Wednesday. This article first appeared in the Jewish Currents news desk newsletter. Subscribe here. Republican Senate candidate Mike… -
U.S. Senate candidates Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers on the issues facing MichiganLANSING, Mich. — As Election Day nears, candidates Abdul El-Sayed (D - MI) and Mike Rogers (R - MI) are making their case to voters on why they are the best person to send to Washington, D.C. as Michigan's junior Senator. We spoke to both…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions