Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.12%median
42%66%
Median 50.12%Middle half 46.96% – 53.24%
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Allegheny County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
The odds
71.71%median
62%82%
Median 71.71%Middle half 70.24% – 73.29%
How the odds have moved
Median: 71.63% on Oct 19, 71.71% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 66% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 68% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 70% | 79% | ▼ 11 | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 9.00 |
| At least 72% | 45% | ▼ 17 | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 205 |
| At least 74% | 14% | ▼ 11 | 9¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 1.2K |
| At least 76% | 4% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 200 |
| At least 78% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 12.00 | |
| At least 80% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Allegheny County, Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania
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Allegheny County becomes first in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave policyOctober 24, 2026 / 12:06 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh On Tuesday, Allegheny County made history as the first county in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave for workers. In an 11-4 vote, Allegheny County Council passed the plan, which was… -
Gov. Josh Shapiro touts record, labor support at Pittsburgh campaign rallyOctober 24, 2026 / 11:21 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro rallied on Pittsburgh's South Side Saturday as part of a stop on his get-out-the-vote statewide bus tour. The event was held at the IBEW Local 5 Hall 10 days… -
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro Courts Rural GOP Voters, Defends State Elections In CNN InterviewPennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro CNN Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro defended the integrity of his state’s voting systems and laid out his second-term legislative priorities during an interview Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union.” Speaking… - Allegheny County's paid paternity leave signed into lawOctober 22, 2026 / 6:13 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh The historic paid parental leave in Allegheny County has been signed and will go into effect in one year. The legislation calls for businesses with 15 or more employees to provide 12 weeks of…
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Gov. Josh Shapiro criticizes Trump and rallies supporters ahead of gubernatorial electionGovernor Josh Shapiro criticized the Trump administration while encouraging people to vote in the upcoming gubernatorial election at a recent campaign stop in Pittsburgh. Davis said Garrity is “too extreme” for Pennsylvania. “Stacy Garrity… -
Gov. Josh Shapiro campaigns for re-election in PA; discusses jobs, abortion rights, housing costsPENNSYLVANIA - With the midterm elections inching closer, candidates are hitting the campaign trail to win over undecided voters. Gov. Josh Shapiro was recently in Meadville, Pennsylvania - a city in Northwestern Pennsylvania to campaign… -
Gov. Josh Shapiro Kicks Off Bus Tour in Erie Before ElectionWith the general election less than two weeks away, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro kicked off his campaign bus tour in Erie on Saturday morning, where he was greeted by dozens of supporters. Those who attended the kickoff rally said… -
Joseph Sabino Mistick: Allegheny County headed in wrong directionAllegheny County is facing some really serious struggles. It turns out a 36% tax increase last year amounts to very little against the unmet annual budget and pension obligations of the county. The county’s pension fund contribution was… -
Jack Stonesifer: Vote ‘no’ on Allegheny County charter restrictionsOn Election Day, voters face a ballot question to amend the Home Rule Charter and remove restrictions on Allegheny County Council members’ ability to spend county tax dollars on personal staff, district offices and fringe benefits. For the… -
Exclusive – Rep. Scott Perry: Gov. Josh Shapiro Envisions Himself ‘Running for President,’ ‘That’s What He’s Gearing Up For’Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) envisions himself “running for president,” Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA), up for reelection in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, said during an appearance on Breitbart News Daily. Perry spoke about… -
New parental leave policy in Allegheny County sets up statewide battle(The Center Square) – A battleground issue for Pennsylvania’s 2027-28 legislative session was staked out in Allegheny County Thursday as County Executive Sara Innamorato signed what was billed as the nation’s first county-level mandate… -
Josh Shapiro Headed for Crushing Win in PennsylvaniaA new Franklin & Marshall College poll finds Josh Shapiro (D) leading Stacy Garrity (R) in the governor’s race, 59% to 36%. Governor’s Race Josh Shapiro (D) 59% Stacy Garrity (R) 36% Franklin & Marshall College poll · likely voters · ±4.1%…
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Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions