Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.29%median
42%66%
Median 50.29%Middle half 47.15% – 53.4%
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Kings County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
The odds
72.56%median
64%84%
Median 72.56%Middle half 70.1% – 75.06%
How the odds have moved
Median: 71.22% on Oct 19, 72.56% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 68% | 89% | ▼ 2 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 70% | 76% | ▼ 3 | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 22.00 |
| At least 72% | 56% | ▼ 5 | 51¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 211 |
| At least 74% | 35% | ▼ 4 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 200 |
| At least 76% | 17% | ▼ 2 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| At least 78% | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | |
| At least 80% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | |
| At least 82% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kings County, New York, Kathy Hochul
Search ›-
Michael Goodwin: Bruce Blakeman says he’ll ‘shock the world’ and kick Kathy Hochul out of AlbanyThe most important question of the week comes from the Wall Street Journal editorial board. As usual, its headline gets straight to the point, asking, “Is New York stuck with Kathy Hochul?” I winced, yet dared to hope the writers had found… -
Mamdani to finally campaign with NY Gov. Kathy Hochul as she seeks re-electionBig Apple Mayor Zohran Mamdani will finally hit the campaign trail with Gov. Kathy Hochul — with less than two weeks before Election Day, the incumbent Democrat announced Thursday. Mamdani — who got Hochul’s backing after his stunning… - For real change and a better standard of living, vote Bruce Blakeman over hopeless incumbent Kathy HochulIf you want real change and a better standard of living, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman deserves your vote for governor over incumbent Kathy Hochul — indeed, New Yorkers can’t get rid of her soon enough. Only 40% approve of the job…
- Republican Bruce Blakeman says rival Kathy Hochul stumping with Zohran Mamdani will be ‘boost’ to his campaignRepublican Bruce Blakeman said Thursday he was thrilled that his rival Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul will be campaigning with lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani, calling it a “big boost” for his gubernatorial campaign. “I think that the more Kathy…
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Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the… -
New York governor's race heats up as Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman clash over high energy costsOctober 20, 2026 / 7:26 PM EDT / CBS New York New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman butted heads on the campaign trail Tuesday over energy policy and the increasingly high cost of utility bills. Hochul took… -
NY Gov Kathy Hochul takes credit for Medicare fraud crackdownFox Business NY Gov Kathy Hochul takes credit for Medicare fraud crackdown New York Governor Kathy Hochul claims victory in a Medicaid fraud crackdown. The 'Big Money in the Morning' panel argues that the investigation was prompted by CMS… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
New York's top court affirms law shifting local elections to even-numbered yearsOctober 17, 2025 / 10:18 PM EDT / AP New York's highest court on Thursday upheld a law shifting local elections to even-numbered years, bringing most county and town elections in line with statewide and federal races. The state Court of… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday… -
Kathy Hochul Tops 50% in New YorkA new Quinnipiac University poll in New York finds Kathy Hochul (D) leading Bruce Blakeman (R) in the governor’s race, 55% to 41%. New York Governor’s Race Kathy Hochul (D) 55% Bruce Blakeman (R) 41% Quinnipiac University poll · likely… -
New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victimsCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victims Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in opposite…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions