How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
30%Below 4.50%
- Falls to 4.5%30%
- Falls to 4.45%20%
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10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 13, 2026?
The odds
73%4.99% or above
10Y Yield now 4.998 +0.30% 4.68%5%
Above today's price —
How the odds have moved
4.71% or above: 99% on Nov 11, 99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.71% or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.73% or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.75% or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.77% or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.79% or above | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.81% or above | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.83% or above | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| 4.85% or above | 95% | ▲ 17 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 41.00 |
| 4.93% or above | 78% | 66¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 410 | |
| 4.95% or above | 74% | ▲ 51 | 59¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 254 |
| 4.97% or above | 74% | 53¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 3.00 | |
| 4.99% or above | 73% | 42¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Y US Treasury
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Related markets
All rates & bonds ›How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
39%Below 4.7%
- Falls to 4.7%39%
- Falls to 4.6%18%
Already reached: Below 4.0%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
13%5.4%
- Reaches 5.4%13%
- Reaches 5.5%6%
Already reached: 4.5%, 4.6%, 4.8%, 5.0%, 5.2%, 4.4%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
58%Below 5.20%
Traders see as low as 5.18%.
- Falls to 5.2%58%
- Falls to 5.15%41%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
22%5.10%
- Reaches 5.1%22%
- Reaches 5.25%6%
Already reached: 4.70%, 4.75%, 4.80%, 4.85%, 4.90%, 4.95%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
37%Below 4.40%
Traders see as low as 4.42%.
- Falls to 4.7%>99%
- Falls to 4.6%>99%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions