US used cars and trucks CPI for October (October 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Inflation Closes Nov 10 · $161 today · $2.5K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 60 min ago

The odds

180.3median

177189

Median 180.3Middle half 178.5 – 180.7

How the odds have moved

Median: 181.2 on Oct 23, 180.3 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 178	88%	▼ 11	88¢	99¢	$1.01	191
Above 179	64%	▼ 51	5¢	93¢	$1.08	1.2K
Above 180	64%	▲ 50	2¢	88¢	$1.14	1.1K
Above 181	12%			40¢	$2.50	4.0K
Above 182	12%			22¢	$4.55	1.4K
Above 183	12%			49¢	$2.04	2.0K
Above 184	12%			82¢	$1.22	8.1K
Above 185	12%			85¢	$1.18	2.9K
Above 186	12%			96¢	$1.04	33.00
Above 187	12%	▲ 4		99¢	$1.01	137
Above 188	12%		6¢	29¢	$3.45	60.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices

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Nasdaq 100: Fed, PCE Inflation and Tech Earnings in FocusInvestingCube · 7 h agoThis week brings several high-volatility risk events for the Nasdaq. These include the Fed interest rate decision, earnings of major technology companies (Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon) and the September Core PCE inflation data. The Federal…
‘We don’t have inflation’? Five charts show the US economic reality of Trump’s second term so farthe Guardian · 4 h agoAs the US midterm elections approach, we take a look at data to see a true picture of the US economy under Trump With the midterm elections fast approaching, many Americans have the economy on their minds. US voters are exhausted by years…
Fuel price pressures push consumer inflation higherECR · 9 h agoUpdated Oct. 21, 2026, 11:47 a.m. | By Tsakane Mhlongo September inflation climbed to 4.5%, with higher transport costs and global oil prices adding pressure on households. Annual consumer price inflation increased from 4.4% in August to…
A Perfect Storm for Bitcoin? Fed, PCE, GDP and Big Tech Earnings AheadCryptoPotato · 8 h agoBitcoin, crypto, and the overall financial system enter one of the busiest macro weeks of the year with the Federal Reserve, fresh inflation and GDP data, and a wave of Big Tech earnings all arriving within days. With BTC already…
Small Business Owners Are Quietly Paying For Inflation With Their PayForbes · 7 h agoOne in three U.S. small business owners is covering rising costs out of their own paycheck rather than raising prices, a KeyBank survey of 1,500 owners found. Customers are also trading down, which leaves little room for increases. The…
Consumer prices rise 1.16 per cent in first nine months of 2026Macau Business · 46 h agoMacau’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 1.16 per cent in the first nine months of the year compared to the same period in 2025, marking the highest level for the period in six years, official data indicate. According to official…
Top 10 African countries with the highest inflation rates as of September 2026Nairametrics · 5 h agoInflation remains elevated across several African economies, with Malawi recording the highest rate among the countries reviewed at 19.40% in September 2026, followed by Rwanda at 17.20% and Libya at 16.60%. The data reflects the most…
Roger Ferguson: Fed likely to hold rates this week, but two hikes are necessary to tackle inflationCNBC · 4 h agoFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's two-day policy meeting this week, state of the economy, the central bank's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more. Roger Ferguson: Fed likely…
FOMC Meeting Puts Fed Interest Rate Decision in Focus as Inflation RisesCoinpedia Fintech News · 9 h agoUS inflation accelerated in September, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 3.7% year over year. The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures changes in prices received by businesses, increased 1.3% from August. Higher energy…
White House official addresses inflation and tariff concernsFox News · 22 h agoNational Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett joins 'The Sunday Briefing' to discuss the impact of the administration's economic policies, inflation and tariffs. White House official addresses inflation and tariff concerns National…
Kalshi Pitches Banks on Inflation-Related Futures MarketPYMNTS.com · 18 h agoKalshi is reportedly readying the launch of a futures market tracking inflation metrics. The company, known primarily for its prediction markets, is aiming to launch the new exchange-traded futures offering in December, Bloomberg News…
Trump failed to stop inflation. Now Republicans may pay the price in the midterm electionsWTOP News · 5 h agoFilling up a basic Ford F-150 truck now costs about $100, up $30 from a year ago. Mortgage rates have jumped to levels that have depressed home sales. And for the past 12 months, consumer prices have risen faster than paychecks, making the…

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All inflation ›

Economy › Inflation

US economic state at the end of 2026?

96%Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)96%▲ 3
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)2%▼ 3
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)<1%

1 more

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)<1%

Economy › Inflation

October Inflation US - Annual

3.7%median

3.15%4.35%

Median 3.7%Middle half 3.68% – 3.73%

Economy › Inflation

CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.23%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.23%Middle half 0.15% – 0.29%

Economy › Inflation

CPI-U index in October (October 2026)

336.7median

334.1337.8

Median 336.7

Economy › Inflation

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.3%median

2.51%7.49%

Median 5.3%Middle half 5.07% – 5.6%

Economy › Inflation

How high will inflation get in 2026?

14%Above 4.5%

4%12%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFRED

Trading closesNov 10, 2026 8:29 AM ET

Traded$2.5K (21,063 contracts)

Today$161

This week$2.5K

At stake$2K

In the news76 headlines today, 1,269 this week

Followed here sinceOct 21, 2026

The rules

If the US used cars and trucks CPI for October 2026 is above 178, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions