UpOnly podcast: Guests this year (Before 2027)

Kalshi Culture › TV & streaming Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $1.2K traded · $313 at stake · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

11%Brian Armstrong
  • Brian Armstrong11%
  • Ansem7%
  • Jeff Yan6%
  • Jesse Pollak5%
  • Barron Trump5%
  • James Wynn3%
  • Arthur Hayes3%
  • DegenPing3%
  • Martin Shkreli3%
  • Sam Bankman-Fried3%
  • GCR1%

How the odds have moved

Brian Armstrong: 10% on Oct 20, 11% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Brian Armstrong 11% 8¢ 13¢ $7.69 3.2K
Ansem 7% 5¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.5K
Jeff Yan 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 7.9K
Jesse Pollak 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.3K
Barron Trump 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 866
James Wynn 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 374
Arthur Hayes 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 936
DegenPing 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 3.00
Martin Shkreli 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 404
Sam Bankman-Fried 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 2.3K
GCR 1% 1¢ $100.00 4.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: UpOnly, Brian Armstrong, Jeff Yan

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.