Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? (Before 2029)

Kalshi Weather Closes Jan 1, 2029 · $12 today · $95 traded · $33 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

62%Before 2029
  • Before 202962%
  • Before 202837%▲ 1
  • Before 20277%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Before 2029: 65% on Oct 19, 62% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before 2029 62% 62¢ 68¢ $1.47 37.00
Before 2028 37% ▲ 1 37¢ 42¢ $2.38 95.00
Before 2027 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 423

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: DFW & IAH, Texas

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.