Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
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Toast total locations in Q3 (total number of locations in Q3 2026)
The odds
188,789median
176,000196,000
Median 188,789Middle half 187,259 – 190,242
How the odds have moved
Median: 188,800 on Oct 19, 188,789 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 178 thousand | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 180 thousand | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| Above 182 thousand | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| Above 184 thousand | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 149 | |
| Above 186 thousand | 92% | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| Above 188 thousand | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| Above 190 thousand | 27% | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| Above 192 thousand | 11% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 459 |
| Above 194 thousand | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 77.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Toast
Search ›-
From Toast to Bessemer: Who founders will hear from at TechCrunch Founder Summit 2026Buy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Building a startup means making decisions before you have all the answers. When should you scale? How do you know you really have product-market fit? What does it take to… -
ASP .NET Core Bootstrap ToastBootstrap 5.3.3 provides excellent documentation for creating toast notifications, but when a developer follows the documentation instructions, they include the toast directly in a page. This means that if more than one page in a project… -
TOASTED YOLKS CAFE COMING TO BRENHAMFor more than a decade, a group of Toasted Yolk team members has helped open cafés across the South, from site selection to the first cup of coffee poured. This December, five of them are opening one they will own themselves in Brenham… -
IHOP Announces the Return of its #1 Requested Menu Item on Social Media, Stuffed French ToastHere’s the Short Stack: Today, IHOP announced the nationwide return of Stuffed French Toast, bringing back one of the brand’s most popular and requested breakfast menu items. After years of guest requests across social media, the return of… -
Mao Buyi's Wedding Toast for a Lifelong Friend Becomes a Debate on Where Friendship EndsThe singer-songwriter's three-minute toast at a friend of twenty years' wedding — 'from school uniforms to a wedding dress, though she was never my bride' — set off a national argument about intimacy between unmarried friends, and the… -
Avocado toast will turn out tastier if you sprinkle 1 simple ingredient on top of itIt only takes five minutes to make the perfect avocado toast for breakfast(Image: Getty) Avocado toast has become something of a phenomenon, and it's easy to see why, as the naturally creamy fruit pairs beautifully with crispy, crunchy… -
Toasts, Tastes & Trolleys Brings Prizes to BocaThere is something timeless about the moment right before a winner is announced. At Toasts, Tastes & Trolleys, that moment arrives again and again — a basket of restaurant gift cards here, a weekend getaway there, maybe a bottle of… -
Toast, Inc. (TOST)stock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance UK Toast, Inc. Overview Software - Infrastructure / Technology Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States, Ireland… -
“We’re Toast”: AI Godfather Says AI Is Now Conscious, and May Kill Us If We’re Not FriendlyForget that uber-thin-skinned narcissistic neighbor — are we now going to have to walk on eggs around artificial intelligence (AI), too? It’s a staggering thought, but also, essentially, the claim of British-Canadian computer scientist… -
Raising Toasts — and Vibrations — in J.J. Martin’s Book of Tips for Joyful GatheringsLa DoubleJ founder is releasing a new coffee-table book celebrating the art of Italian hospitality and showcasing her colorful tablescapes. MILAN — Why simply raise a toast when you can raise the energy in between courses? Los Angeles-born… -
Nobel-Winning Computer Scientist Says AI Has Become Conscious: “We’re Toast”Published Oct 22, 2026 1:31 PM EDT Geoffrey Hinton, one of the godfathers of AI, is prognosticating about our future with trademark gloom. In an interview with The Telegraph, the famed British computer scientist insisted that AI has become… -
Millennials’ success deserves a toast (not the avocado sort)As generations age, they get better jobs, earn more and buy homes. Millennials, born between the early 1980s and mid-1990s, had a brutal coming of age Many graduated in the wake of the global financial crisis Youth unemployment rose above…
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Largest Company end of October 2026?
66%NVIDIA
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- Apple30%▼ 7
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- Microsoft<1%
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Walmart Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
100.3median
92112
Median 100.3Middle half 96.9 – 101.9
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
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United Airlines Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
106.7median
91117
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions