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#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
The odds
- you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love65%▼ 30
- DANDELION22%
- The Life of a Showgirl5%▲ 3
- Rubber Soul5%
- I'm The Problem5%
- The Great Divide5%
- The Art of Loving5%
- Stick Season5%▲ 4
- ICEMAN5%
- SOS5%
- One Thing At A Time5%
- PRIMA5%
3 more
- Thriller5%
- HABIBTI1%
- THE DIVINE FEMININE1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in lov: 95% on Oct 21, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 5 AM ETyou seem pretty sad for a…: 97% → 65%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 21, 11 AM ETyou seem pretty sad for a…: 95% → 89%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love | 65% | ▼ 30 | 65¢ | $1.54 | 868 | |
| DANDELION | 22% | 20¢ | $5.00 | 1.1K | ||
| The Life of a Showgirl | 5% | ▲ 3 | 40¢ | $2.50 | 65.00 | |
| Rubber Soul | 5% | 61¢ | $1.64 | 100 | ||
| I'm The Problem | 5% | 40¢ | $2.50 | 65.00 | ||
| The Great Divide | 5% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 195 | ||
| The Art of Loving | 5% | 40¢ | $2.50 | 100 | ||
| Stick Season | 5% | ▲ 4 | 32¢ | $3.13 | 795 | |
| ICEMAN | 5% | 63¢ | $1.59 | 111 | ||
| SOS | 5% | 46¢ | $2.17 | 100 | ||
| One Thing At A Time | 5% | 53¢ | $1.89 | 100 | ||
| PRIMA | 5% | 69¢ | $1.45 | 100 | ||
| Thriller | 5% | 65¢ | $1.54 | 65.00 | ||
| HABIBTI | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 30.00 | ||
| THE DIVINE FEMININE | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Billboard
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In Canada: Summer Walker, Bebe Rexha to Accept Awards at Billboard Canada Women in Music 2026Also this week: Drake finances a new album for a Canadian rapper and Tate McRae's Victoria's Secret performance draws criticism. Billboard Canada has announced some more major global names for Billboard Canada Women In Music, where Cardi B… -
AARP Celebrated the Power of Music, Reinvention and Legacy at Billboard Latin Music Week 2026From the Latin Music Legacy Award presented by AARP to a cross-generational conversation with salsa icons Tito Nieves and Luis Figueroa, AARP championed the artists, stories and connections that kept… AARP took center stage at Billboard… -
IA nas Paradas 2026: Como Algoritmos Dominam Spotify e BillboardA inteligência artificial já não é apenas assunto de ficção: 32 % das faixas que chegam ao top‑10 das maiores plataformas de streaming foram criadas total ou parcialmente por IA. Nos últimos 30 dias, as buscas por “música IA”, “AI music… -
Rosalía Honored With 2026 Billboard Hall of Fame Award at Billboard Latin Music Awards: ‘I Will Never Forget This Moment’The Spanish artist received the award at the 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards on Thursday (Oct. 22). Rosalía was honored with the Billboard Hall of Fame Award at the 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards on Thursday night (Oct. 22). Dominican… -
Rosalía and Juan Luis Guerra’s Billboard Moment ExplainedDOMINICAN REPUBLIC · MUSIC A Dominican songwriter presented a Spanish singer with the Billboard Hall of Fame Award, and the Dominican press noticed. The exchange came on Thursday, 22 October 2026, in Miami. The Rosalía Juan Luis Guerra… -
Cristian Castro Accepts the Billboard Lifetime Achievement Award ‘In the Name of Romantic Love’Cristian Castro received the Lifetime Achievement Award and performed at the 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards ceremony. Cristian Castro became emotional on Thursday evening (Oct. 22) as he accepted the Billboard Lifetime Achievement Award… -
Fuerza Regida Wins Big at Billboard Latin Music Awards 2026: Complete ListThe ceremony was broadcasted live on Telemundo from the James L. Knight Center in Miami. Deputy Editor, Billboard Español The 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards ceremony has begun, with the biggest stars of the moment gathered Thursday… -
Iran Puts Trump Behind Bars? Tehran Billboard Mocks US President Over Wedding StrikeA Donald Trump impersonator appears inside a mock prison cell atop a billboard in Tehran as Iran protests a reported wedding strike. (Img: X) Tehran: Iran has turned a Tehran billboard into a political spectacle, placing a life-sized… -
You’re Protecting Billboards, But Can’t Protect Citizens – Atiku Tells TinubuAtiku criticised the arrangement, questioning why campaign materials belonging to a president who claims to enjoy widespread public support require security protection while millions of Nigerians continue to face insecurity. In a post on… -
Rubén Blades Receives Icon Award at 2026 Billboard Latin Music Awards: ‘Nobody Becomes an Icon Without Help’The legendary Panamanian artist was honored the day after his Icon Q&A at Billboard Latin Music Week. Blades concluded his remarks by paraphrasing the late, legendary Mexican singer and actor Pedro Vargas: “As the ‘Immortal Tenor of the… -
‘Trump Napping Behind Bars’: Iran Mocks US President With Jail-Themed Billboard Over Deadly Wedding StrikeA life-sized impersonator of US President Donald Trump has been placed inside a mock prison cell atop a billboard in Tehran as part of a display criticising Washington over a deadly strike on an Iranian wedding. Located above Tajrish… -
Fuerza Regida Reveals Which Questions They Wished They’d Asked Memo Ochoa | Billboard Latin Music Awards 2026Fuerza Regida Reveals Which Questions They Wished They'd Asked Memo Ochoa Billboard Fuerza Regida chatted with Billboard’s Ingrid Fajardo & Jessica Roiz on the red carpet of 2026 Billboard’s Latin Music Awards. A daily briefing on what…
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Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.