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South Africa vs Australia (SA vs AUS (Oct 18))
Settled South AfricaA day before, traders gave it 83%.
The last odds before it closed
✓ South Africa100%▲ 43
Draw/Tie1%▼ 41
Australia1%
How the odds have moved
South Africa: 14% on Oct 20, 83% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETSouth Africa: 26% → 83%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ South Africa | 100% | 752.4K | ||||
| ✗ Australia | 1% | 955.8K | ||||
| ✗ Draw/Tie | 1% | 914.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Africa, Australia
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India's WTC Final chances: What South Africa's win over Australia meansSouth Africa’s innings win over Australia has tightened the World Test Championship final race. Australia remain top, while India sit fifth with seven Tests left against New Zealand and Australia. India need 62 points to reach a 60 PCT and… -
Australia face selection headaches after 'shambolic' South Africa defeatPublished - October 24, 2026 03:31 am IST - Sydney Australia captain Pat Cummins admits it is hard to "paper over the cracks" after a thumping second Test defeat to South Africa, with the fate of at least three players hanging in the… -
South Africa's enforced change for third Test could be the worst nightmare for every Australia playerSouth Africa will need to make an enforced change for the third Test against Australia in Cape Town. South Africa will likely need to make one enforced change to their XI for the third Test against Australia - and it could prove to be the… -
WTC 2025-27 Points Table : South Africa strengthen third spot after innings victory over Australia in 2nd TestAustralia continue to lead the World Test Championship (WTC) 2025-27 points table after South Africa bounced back with a dominant victory in the second Test at St Georgeâs Park in Gqeberha. WTC 2025-27 Points Table : South Africa… -
South Africa complete famous win over AustraliaAustralia won the first Test by 214 runs Second Test, Gqeberha (day five of five) South Africa 425-9 dec: Bavuma 179, Jansen 85; Boland 5-81 Australia 99 & 295: Head 121; Rabada 4-77, Mulder 3-64 South Africa won by an innings and 31 runs… -
South Africa beat Boland and weather to force series decider against AustraliaScott Boland batted for more than three hours as nightwatcher but Kagiso Rabada and Wiaan Mulder led the hosts to victory in Gqeberha ... South Africa beat Boland and weather to force series decider against Australia Rabada and Mulder lead… -
Updated WTC 2025-27 Points Table After South Africa Defeat Australia By An Innings & 31 Runs In 2nd TestThe win over Australia in the second Test helped South Africa level the series 1-1, and it also helped them improve their PCT% in the ongoing World Test Championship (WTC) 2025-27 cycle. The 2025 winners, however, remained third in the… -
Will South Africa's win over Australia benefit India in WTC points table?ICC World Test Championship 2025-27 After losing the first Test, South Africa slipped from second to third spot on the WTC 2025-27 points table. But a win in Gqeberha has given them a good push. Though they remain in third spot, the win… -
‘Old-fashioned’ South Africa thump Australia to level Test seriesGQEBERHA, South Africa (AFP) — South Africa captain Temba Bavuma said his team beat Australia by playing “good old Test cricket” as the hosts levelled the three-match series with a win by an innings and 31 runs at St George’s Park on… -
Boland continues to torment South Africa in rain-hit second TestFri, Oct 23, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 11, 1448 | Fajr 05:03|DXB 31.9°C Australia paceman Scott Boland continued to torment South Africa's batsmen with two more wickets on Monday to leave the hosts on 97 runs for five wickets at stumps on the… - Fans erupt as clinical South Africa crush Australia by an innings and 31 runs in the 2nd TestSouth Africa produced a remarkable comeback to defeat Australia by an innings and 34 runs in the second Test at St George’s Park in Gqeberha. After struggling at 97/5 in their first innings, the hosts recovered brilliantly to post 425/9…
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Shukri Conrad's South Africa revolution: Proteas rise from transition to Test dominanceWhen nobody gave them much chance in the 2023-25 WTC cycle, they made sure the cricketing world saw they were ready to deliver. The Proteas team shook off the 'chokers' tag with the Lord's final victory over Australia in the WTC final…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.