Largest Company end of December 2026?
60%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA60%▲ 2
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
The odds
594.1median
-1,00030,000
Median 594.1Middle half 99.0 – 1,857
How the odds have moved
Median: 569.0 on Oct 20, 594.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0 | 80% | ▼ 7 | 77¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 26.3K |
| Above 1000 | 30% | ▲ 2 | 28¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 80.1K |
| Above 5000 | 9% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 51.2K |
| Above 10000 | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 7.7K | |
| Above 15000 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.4K | |
| Above 20000 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 906 | |
| Above 25000 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 786 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Semi Trucks, Tesla Produce
Search ›-
I-35 reopened in Love County after fatal semi-truck crashSouthbound I-35 was shut down after a deadly semi-truck crash Friday evening. LOVE COUNTY, Okla. (KXII) - Southbound I-35 was shut down after a deadly semi-truck crash Friday evening. The Oklahoma Highway Patrol reported that two… -
Crews extinguish semi-truck fire after spotting smoke while returning to Lawrence county stationLAWRENCE CO., Tenn. (WSMV) - Lawrence County Fire and Rescue said they fought a semi-truck fire after spotting smoke while returning to the fire station on Friday. LCFR said crews were returning to their station around 1 p.m. Friday after… -
LAPD searching for semi-truck involved in deadly San Pedro hit-and-run crashOctober 21, 2026 / 3:29 PM PDT / CBS LA The Los Angeles Police Department asked for help finding a semi-truck driver involved in a deadly hit-and-run crash in San Pedro. Detectives said the fatal collision happened around 1:30 a.m. on Oct… -
Semi-truck driver arrested on kidnapping charges faces new chargesRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - A semi-truck driver arrested in September on charges of kidnapping a 14-year-old girl is facing 10 additional child sex abuse material related charges. 31-year-old Daniel Isidoro was arrested on Sept. 29 after… -
Semi-truck catches fire in Wiggins; no injuries reportedWIGGINS, Miss. (WLOX) — A semi-truck trailer caught fire Friday morning in Wiggins, according to the Wiggins Fire Department. Officials said the fire happened on West Central Avenue. The trailer ... WIGGINS, Miss. (WLOX) — A semi-truck… -
CHP: Bakersfield man killed after running stop sign into semi-truck trailerBAKERSFIELD, Calif. (KBAK/KBFX) — A 29-year-old Bakersfield man died after CHP says he ran a stop sign and collided with a semi-truck’s trailer at Bear Mountain Boulevard early Friday morning. The California Highway Patrol said on Friday… -
Tesla produces 7,000 Model Ys in one week at Giga BerlinTesla has built 7,000 Model Ys during a single week at Giga Berlin, reaching a new production milestone at the German factory that now supplies Canadian customers. The announcement came from Tesla Manufacturing on X, which credited… -
Two dead after deadly crash involving semi-trucks in Reeves CountyTwo people are dead after a deadly crash in Reeves County, according to the Texas Department of Public Safety. REEVES COUNTY, Texas (KOSA) - Two people are dead after a deadly crash in Reeves County on Friday morning, according to the… - Man killed in crash with semi-truck in HaywardJason, his wife Lauren, and their daughter, Makayla (GoFundMe) HAYWARD, Wis. (KQDS-TV) -- A man was killed after his car collided with a semi-truck in Hayward. The victim was 50-year-old Jason T. Laenn from Springbrook, WI. According to…
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Semi-truck driver killed in Mankato after being hit by pickup while on shoulderMANKATO, Minn. (FOX 9) - A semi-truck driver was hit and killed while he was standing near his truck on the shoulder of Highway 169 in Mankato Thursday afternoon. According to the Minnesota State Patrol, just before 2:30 p.m., a semi-truck… - Car and Semi-Truck Collide on Interstate 94 Near St. Cloud Friday MorningST. CLOUD (WJON News) -- One person was hurt in a crash between a car and a semi-truck on Friday morning. The incident happened on Interstate 94 in Stearns County at around 11:50 a.m. The Minnesota State Patrol says both the Honda Accord…
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Coffee food truck obliterated in construction zone crash with semi truckA man was miraculously uninjured after a construction zone crash sent a semi truck crashing into his coffee truck. The accident happened on Thursday, October 22nd at 9:26 a.m. in Silver Spring Township, Pennsylvania. According to WGAL 8, a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions