Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
96%chance▼ 2
Install
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
22%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jul 1, 202710%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202822%
How the odds have moved
Before Jul 1, 2027: 10% on Oct 19, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 3.1K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 22% | 17¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sunnyside Yard
Search ›-
A Caltrain railyard plan targets 5,834 new San Francisco homesSan Francisco planners opened CEQA scoping for the 4th and King railyard redevelopment led by Prologis, including an option with up to 5,834 homes. Approvals would require rezoning and a development agreement, and later phases hinge on… -
Mamdani and Trump discuss plans for affordable housing in Sunnyside YardMTA unveils new renderings of proposed Interborough Express stations Ed Sheeran drops Macklemore following ‘free Palestine’ remarks Dating app Bumble explores acquisition Who will win the 2027 Superbowl? Mamdani announces pilot program… -
New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani makes a special appearance on ‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’By Jadyn BuccilliStaff Writer Jimmy Kimmel invited New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani onto “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” where Mamdani talked about his current and future plans with the city, as well as his relationship with President Donald Trump…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions