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99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
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Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3 (beer shipments (24-pack, 12-oz case equivalents) in Q3 2027)
The odds
98.63Mmedian
82.00M114.00M
Median 98.63MMiddle half 96.67M – 101.92M
How the odds have moved
Median: 99.60M on Oct 20, 98.63M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 86 million | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 3.0K | ||
| Above 90 million | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 92 million | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| Above 94 million | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.3K | |
| Above 96 million | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 1.2K | |
| Above 98 million | 56% | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 1.2K | |
| Above 100 million | 37% | 33¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 1.3K | |
| Above 102 million | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 706 | |
| Above 104 million | 9% | ▼ 8 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 300 |
| Above 106 million | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.9K | ||
| Above 110 million | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Constellation Brands
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Constellation Brands lifted beer shipments 3.7% by refilling distributor inventoriesVinetur Constellation Brands lifted beer shipments 3.7% by refilling distributor inventories Depletions fell 0.5% in the first half after the company said it had overcorrected stock levels last year Thursday, October 22, 2026 Constellation… -
What Is The Biggest Threat To Constellation Brands Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. Constellation Brands Is Holding Back On Prices Flat pricing stings more when costs rise. An analyst on the same call asked whether inflation in the back half… -
Occasions, Experiences and Keeping AI Out of Creative – Constellation Brands, Good Boy and Owl’s Brew Leaders Talk Marketing ShopSearch across the BevNET CPG Media network including BevNET, Nosh, Brewbound, Taste Radio, Nombase and CPG Jobs. Results open on cpgmedia.com Is your product the best in CPG? Nominations close Friday, Oct. 30 >> Best in CPG? Noms Close… -
Has Constellation Brands Stock Become A Different Bet?Constellation Brands Now Talks Up Its Own Marketing On the fiscal Q2 2027 call on October 7, 2026, management said its increased investments and focus on marketing are working. Constellation was also the biggest gainer of dollar share in… - Constellation Brands Stock Has One Thing Left To ProveConstellation’s revenue rose 6.1% from a year earlier in its fiscal second quarter, ended August 31, 2026. This followed a 3.3% drop in the prior quarter. Management has said the company entered fiscal 2027 with distributor stocks that…
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Weight-Loss Drugs Are Coming for Beer, Heineken Admits PrivatelyHeineken just told British pub owners that a blockbuster class of drugs threatens the very ritual of buying a round, and its own financial data makes the warning harder to dismiss than the industry would like. Heineken, the world’s… -
Warren Buffett’s Value Investing Strategy for Wealth: Patience and QualityWarren Buffett focuses on buying quality businesses at reasonable prices, not flashy companies or market trends. Long-term thinking beats market timing—he holds his best investments “forever” and is famously patient before buying a… -
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Releases Q2 2027 Financial ResultsAlphaStreet publishes free earnings call transcripts, earnings previews, and financial analysis for S&P 1500 companies. Transcripts are published within few minutes of every conference call - faster than any other source. Booz Allen… -
DOE Taps the SPR for Phillips 66's Lake Charles Refinery CrunchAs seen on the 24/7 Wall St. homepage on October 23, 2026. Washington opens the reserve only when a refiner cannot source crude elsewhere, so this 400,000-barrel exchange signals a real feedstock crunch at Lake Charles. Gulf Coast fuel… -
Constellation’s The Prisoner Sees Upside In Challenging Wine MarketThe Prisoner, a mainstay of luxury California red blends and part of the Constellation Brands portfolio, has seen strong growth at retail in 2026, despite the headwinds facing the U.S. wine market. Ending 2025 at 241,000 cases, according… -
Warren Buffett Who? Berkshire Stock Hits Records as These Holdings Drive Gains Under Greg AbelShares of Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE:BRK)(NYSE:BRK) hit an all-time high on Wednesday, which may come as a surprise to those expecting lower returns after Warren Buffett stepped down as CEO and chairman of the conglomerate. What’s… -
Jefferies keeps beer stock ratings unchanged after wholesalers report a 4% drop in volumesJefferies left its ratings unchanged on several beer-related stocks after attending the National Beer Wholesalers Association’s annual convention, where distributors described a market still under pressure from weak volumes and shifting…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions