Settled788,000,000A day before, traders had a median of 791.24M
The last odds before it closed
787.11Mmedian
✓ Above 784 million100%▲ 11
✓ Above 786 million100%▲ 1
Above 788 million10%▼ 59
Above 790 million1%▼ 54
Above 792 million1%▼ 37
Above 794 million1%▼ 26
Above 796 million1%▼ 24
Above 798 million1%▼ 14
Above 800 million1%▼ 10
Above 802 million1%▼ 7
How the odds have moved
Median: 790.24M on Oct 19, 787.11M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 784 million
100%
466
✓ Above 786 million
100%
77.00
✗ Above 788 million
10%
231
✗ Above 790 million
1%
744
✗ Above 792 million
1%
524
✗ Above 794 million
1%
725
✗ Above 796 million
1%
364
✗ Above 798 million
1%
269
✗ Above 800 million
1%
354
✗ Above 802 million
1%
553
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions