Largest Company end of December 2026?
59%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA59%▲ 1
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet2%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026
The odds
16.05Mmedian
14.50M19.50M
Median 16.05MMiddle half 15.50M – 16.82M
How the odds have moved
Median: 17.00M on Oct 19, 16.05M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15 million | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 309 | |
| Above 15.5 million | 75% | ▲ 1 | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 698 |
| Above 16 million | 52% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 916 |
| Above 16.5 million | 33% | ▲ 2 | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 470 |
| Above 17 million | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 99.00 | |
| Above 17.5 million | 12% | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 510 | |
| Above 18 million | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 5.00 |
| Above 18.5 million | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 210 | |
| Above 19 million | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 335 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Starlink
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Who controls Ukraine's access to Starlink?Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky says unexplained limits on Starlink and Starshield services continue to affect Ukrainian forces, while US officials and Elon Musk offer conflicting accounts of who controls the restrictions. Ukraine… -
Ukraine says Starlink is back to normal after disruptionsUkraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy answers media questions before his meeting with Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Thursday. Efrem Lukatsky/AP hide caption Ukraine said Saturday that the Starlink satellite… -
Ukraine says Starlink connection 'now stable' after network limitsUkraine now has a "stable connection" to Starlink, its defence minister has said, after its military suffered days of restricted connectivity on the satellite network. Kyiv relies on the Starlink and its military-grade counterpart… -
SpaceX launches Starlink satellites from California as Falcon 9 cadence slows (photos)Soon, it'll be all Starship, all the time. SpaceX launched its newest batch of Starlink broadband internet satellites today (Oct. 23) from the California coast. The spacecraft, Starlink Group 15-15, were stacked 27 high inside the payload… -
Ukraine regains critical Starlink service after restrictions disrupt drone operationsFormer Army special ops intel analyst Brett Velicovich analyzes the partial restoration of SpaceX Starlink access to Ukraine, its impact on the battlefield and reports of a Russian drone attack base on 'Varney & Co.' Ukraine's Ministry of… -
Ukraine’s military says Starlink satellite connection stable after recent restrictionsVolodymyr Zelenskyy offers thanks to US allies for restoring system key to air defence and ‘frontline logistics’ Ukraine’s military has a “stable connection to Starlink”, the Ukrainian government has said, 10 days after its ability to use… -
British PM pushes Trump on Ukraine’s Starlink accessThe Friday call between the leaders came as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the service had not been fully restored. President Donald Trump meets with British Prime Minister Andy Burnham during the United Nations General… -
Ukraine says Starlink and Starshield high speed restrictions have been liftedUkraine said Saturday that high-speed service has been restored for SpaceX's Starlink and Starshield satellite communication systems, a day after declaring that they remained throttled. Ukrainian official said the service disruption left… -
Ukraine troops report ongoing problems with Starlink satellite networkCommunications system still faces speed restrictions despite Trump claim that Musk had resumed full service Trump, Musk, Zelenskyy: who is blaming who in the Ukraine-Starlink row? Ukrainian forces continue to report widespread disruptions… -
Ukraine says Starlink is back to normal after limits hobbled its dronesKYIV — Ukraine said on Saturday that the Starlink satellite system and its military version Starshield were again operating at high speeds after over a week of restrictions that disrupted military operations and intensified tensions with… -
Ukraine says Starlink speed limits lifted after a slowdown that hobbled its dronesBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Ukraine’s military has… -
Trump Says Musk Restored Starlink as Ukraine Blame Game DeepensOct 23, 2026 at 06:39 AM EDT President Donald Trump said Elon Musk has restored Ukraine's full access to the military-grade version of Starlink, more than a week after front-line drone pilots first experienced restrictions that undermined…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions